cbb·system

Maine Black Bears

mens Am. East canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.98 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.09 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.11 points per possession 0.18
PACE 65.82 possessions per game 4.45

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2017 · 2016 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Series smoothed · raw fit

Warm-up shown · hide

AdjME (points per possession)
Maine AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibratedD-I average -0.00 (Apr 04)Dec 10, 2022 AdjME -0.01 ± 0.30 (2σ) 7 games playedDec 11, 2022 AdjME -0.01 ± 0.32 (2σ) 7 games playedDec 12, 2022 AdjME -0.01 ± 0.32 (2σ) 8 games playedDec 13, 2022 AdjME -0.01 ± 0.32 (2σ) 8 games playedDec 14, 2022 AdjME -0.01 ± 0.32 (2σ) 8 games playedDec 16, 2022 AdjME -0.01 ± 0.32 (2σ) 8 games playedDec 17, 2022 AdjME -0.02 ± 0.32 (2σ) 8 games playedDec 18, 2022 AdjME -0.01 ± 0.32 (2σ) 8 games playedDec 19, 2022 AdjME -0.01 ± 0.32 (2σ) 8 games playedDec 20, 2022 AdjME -0.03 ± 0.33 (2σ) 9 games playedDec 21, 2022 AdjME -0.04 ± 0.33 (2σ) 9 games playedDec 22, 2022 AdjME -0.05 ± 0.32 (2σ) 10 games playedDec 23, 2022 AdjME -0.06 ± 0.32 (2σ) 10 games playedDec 24, 2022 AdjME -0.07 ± 0.33 (2σ) 10 games playedDec 26, 2022 AdjME -0.07 ± 0.32 (2σ) 10 games playedDec 28, 2022 AdjME -0.07 ± 0.33 (2σ) 10 games playedDec 29, 2022 AdjME -0.08 ± 0.33 (2σ) 11 games playedDec 30, 2022 AdjME -0.08 ± 0.33 (2σ) 11 games playedDec 31, 2022 AdjME -0.09 ± 0.32 (2σ) 11 games playedJan 01, 2023 AdjME -0.09 ± 0.33 (2σ) 11 games playedJan 02, 2023 AdjME -0.08 ± 0.33 (2σ) 11 games playedJan 03, 2023 AdjME -0.08 ± 0.32 (2σ) 11 games playedJan 04, 2023 AdjME -0.08 ± 0.32 (2σ) 11 games playedJan 05, 2023 AdjME -0.08 ± 0.33 (2σ) 11 games playedJan 06, 2023 AdjME -0.08 ± 0.32 (2σ) 12 games playedJan 07, 2023 AdjME -0.07 ± 0.33 (2σ) 12 games playedJan 08, 2023 AdjME -0.07 ± 0.33 (2σ) 12 games playedJan 08, 2023 AdjME -0.08 ± 0.33 (2σ) 13 games playedJan 11, 2023 AdjME -0.08 ± 0.33 (2σ) 13 games playedJan 12, 2023 AdjME -0.09 ± 0.33 (2σ) 14 games playedJan 13, 2023 AdjME -0.09 ± 0.33 (2σ) 14 games playedJan 14, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.33 (2σ) 14 games playedJan 15, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.34 (2σ) 15 games playedJan 15, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.34 (2σ) 15 games playedJan 17, 2023 AdjME -0.11 ± 0.33 (2σ) 15 games playedJan 18, 2023 AdjME -0.11 ± 0.33 (2σ) 15 games playedJan 19, 2023 AdjME -0.11 ± 0.33 (2σ) 15 games playedJan 20, 2023 AdjME -0.11 ± 0.34 (2σ) 16 games playedJan 21, 2023 AdjME -0.11 ± 0.34 (2σ) 16 games playedJan 22, 2023 AdjME -0.12 ± 0.34 (2σ) 16 games playedJan 22, 2023 AdjME -0.11 ± 0.34 (2σ) 17 games playedJan 24, 2023 AdjME -0.11 ± 0.34 (2σ) 17 games playedJan 25, 2023 AdjME -0.11 ± 0.34 (2σ) 17 games playedJan 26, 2023 AdjME -0.11 ± 0.34 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 27, 2023 AdjME -0.11 ± 0.34 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 29, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.36 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 29, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.34 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 31, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.34 (2σ) 19 games playedFeb 01, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.34 (2σ) 19 games playedFeb 02, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.35 (2σ) 20 games playedFeb 03, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.35 (2σ) 20 games playedFeb 04, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.34 (2σ) 20 games playedFeb 05, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.35 (2σ) 21 games playedFeb 06, 2023 AdjME -0.09 ± 0.35 (2σ) 21 games playedFeb 07, 2023 AdjME -0.08 ± 0.35 (2σ) 21 games playedFeb 08, 2023 AdjME -0.07 ± 0.35 (2σ) 21 games playedFeb 09, 2023 AdjME -0.07 ± 0.35 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 10, 2023 AdjME -0.07 ± 0.35 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 11, 2023 AdjME -0.07 ± 0.35 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 12, 2023 AdjME -0.07 ± 0.35 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 12, 2023 AdjME -0.08 ± 0.35 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 14, 2023 AdjME -0.08 ± 0.35 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 15, 2023 AdjME -0.08 ± 0.35 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 16, 2023 AdjME -0.09 ± 0.35 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 17, 2023 AdjME -0.09 ± 0.35 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 18, 2023 AdjME -0.09 ± 0.35 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 19, 2023 AdjME -0.09 ± 0.35 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 20, 2023 AdjME -0.09 ± 0.35 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 21, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.35 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 22, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.35 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 23, 2023 AdjME -0.09 ± 0.35 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 24, 2023 AdjME -0.09 ± 0.35 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 25, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.35 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 26, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.35 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 27, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.35 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 28, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.35 (2σ) 26 games playedMar 01, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.36 (2σ) 27 games playedMar 02, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.36 (2σ) 27 games playedMar 03, 2023 AdjME -0.11 ± 0.36 (2σ) 27 games playedMar 04, 2023 AdjME -0.11 ± 0.36 (2σ) 27 games playedMar 05, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.35 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 06, 2023 AdjME -0.11 ± 0.35 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 08, 2023 AdjME -0.11 ± 0.35 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 09, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.36 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 10, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.35 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 12, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.35 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 12, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.36 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 16, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.36 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 17, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.36 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 18, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.36 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 19, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.36 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 20, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.36 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 20, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.36 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 22, 2023 AdjME -0.11 ± 0.35 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 23, 2023 AdjME -0.11 ± 0.35 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 24, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.36 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 25, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.38 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 26, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.36 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 26, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.36 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 29, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.36 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 31, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.35 (2σ) 28 games playedApr 02, 2023 AdjME -0.10 ± 0.36 (2σ) 28 games playedApr 04, 2023 AdjME -0.11 ± 0.36 (2σ) 28 games played
Walk-forward cutoff, season 2023
  • AdjME (smoothed)
  • ±2σ, the model's own uncertainty
  • warm-up gate (18 games)
  • D-I average at the season's latest cutoff
AdjME at each of 103 walk-forward cutoffs (train_cutoff_at) in season 2023. Hover or tap for the value, its ±2σ and games played at that cutoff. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231317 0.433

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdMaine auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-04 2023 Maine @ UMass Lowell 54–85 conf_tournament
2023-03-01 2023 Bryant @ Maine 64–66 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Maine @ Binghamton 71–67 regular
2023-02-23 2023 Maine @ New Hampshire 62–74 regular
2023-02-18 2023 UAlbany @ Maine 72–74 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Maine @ NJIT 50–65 regular
2023-02-09 2023 Vermont @ Maine 74–65 regular
2023-02-04 2023 UMBC @ Maine 49–84 regular
2023-02-02 2023 Maine @ Bryant 53–71 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Maine @ UAlbany 72–68 regular
2023-01-26 2023 UMass Lowell @ Maine 70–75 regular
2023-01-22 2023 Binghamton @ Maine 57–78 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Maine @ Vermont 45–66 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Maine @ UMBC 77–85 regular
2023-01-12 2023 New Hampshire @ Maine 71–58 regular
2023-01-08 2023 NJIT @ Maine 91–83 regular
2023-01-05 2023 Maine @ UMass Lowell 70–72 regular
2022-12-29 2023 Harvard @ Maine 74–73 regular
2022-12-22 2023 Maine @ Ohio State 61–95 regular
2022-12-20 2023 Maine @ Akron 55–87 regular
2022-12-11 2023 Maine @ Merrimack 50–47 regular
2022-12-08 2023 Maine-Augusta @ Maine 67–103 non_d1
2022-12-04 2023 Maine @ Marist N 61–62 regular
2022-12-01 2023 Maine @ Fordham 67–72 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Maine @ Brown 63–70 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Maine @ Central Connecticut 66–58 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Columbia @ Maine 70–93 regular
2022-11-14 2023 Maine @ Boston College 69–64 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Maine-Fort Kent @ Maine 45–90 non_d1
2022-11-08 2023 Maine @ Nebraska 66–79 regular