Ratings · 2017
Dimension Value Unit σ
OE
0.91
points per possession
0.12
DE
1.13
points per possession
0.12
ME
-0.22
points per possession
0.17
PACE
67.69
possessions per game
4.64
At season 2017's latest cutoff
(2017-04-04 01:20),
with 30 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game , a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season
2026 ·
2025 ·
2024 ·
2023 ·
2022 ·
2021 ·
2020 ·
2019 ·
2018 ·
2017 ·
2016 ·
2015 ·
2014
Show
AdjME ·
AdjOE ·
AdjDE ·
AdjPace
Series
smoothed ·
raw fit
Warm-up
shown ·
hide
AdjPace (possessions per game)
60 65 70 75
Maine AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffs warm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated D-I average 68.17 (Apr 04) Dec 13, 2016
AdjPace 68.31 ± 7.95 (2σ)
8 games played Dec 14, 2016
AdjPace 68.44 ± 8.03 (2σ)
8 games played Dec 17, 2016
AdjPace 68.51 ± 7.99 (2σ)
8 games played Dec 18, 2016
AdjPace 68.37 ± 8.32 (2σ)
8 games played Dec 19, 2016
AdjPace 68.50 ± 8.27 (2σ)
9 games played Dec 20, 2016
AdjPace 68.39 ± 8.30 (2σ)
9 games played Dec 21, 2016
AdjPace 68.37 ± 8.28 (2σ)
10 games played Dec 22, 2016
AdjPace 68.49 ± 8.28 (2σ)
10 games played Dec 23, 2016
AdjPace 68.34 ± 8.51 (2σ)
11 games played Dec 24, 2016
AdjPace 68.50 ± 8.24 (2σ)
11 games played Dec 27, 2016
AdjPace 68.54 ± 8.31 (2σ)
11 games played Dec 28, 2016
AdjPace 68.75 ± 8.22 (2σ)
11 games played Dec 29, 2016
AdjPace 68.65 ± 8.27 (2σ)
11 games played Dec 30, 2016
AdjPace 68.74 ± 8.35 (2σ)
11 games played Dec 31, 2016
AdjPace 68.89 ± 8.26 (2σ)
12 games played Jan 01, 2017
AdjPace 68.89 ± 8.37 (2σ)
12 games played Jan 02, 2017
AdjPace 68.89 ± 8.26 (2σ)
12 games played Jan 03, 2017
AdjPace 69.07 ± 8.43 (2σ)
13 games played Jan 04, 2017
AdjPace 69.08 ± 8.38 (2σ)
13 games played Jan 05, 2017
AdjPace 69.09 ± 8.35 (2σ)
13 games played Jan 06, 2017
AdjPace 69.07 ± 8.41 (2σ)
14 games played Jan 07, 2017
AdjPace 69.18 ± 8.21 (2σ)
14 games played Jan 08, 2017
AdjPace 68.91 ± 8.82 (2σ)
14 games played Jan 09, 2017
AdjPace 69.07 ± 8.45 (2σ)
15 games played Jan 10, 2017
AdjPace 69.14 ± 8.36 (2σ)
15 games played Jan 11, 2017
AdjPace 69.11 ± 8.40 (2σ)
15 games played Jan 12, 2017
AdjPace 69.04 ± 8.46 (2σ)
16 games played Jan 13, 2017
AdjPace 69.17 ± 8.39 (2σ)
16 games played Jan 14, 2017
AdjPace 69.13 ± 8.49 (2σ)
16 games played Jan 15, 2017
AdjPace 68.92 ± 8.72 (2σ)
17 games played Jan 16, 2017
AdjPace 68.75 ± 8.65 (2σ)
17 games played Jan 17, 2017
AdjPace 68.33 ± 8.72 (2σ)
18 games played Jan 18, 2017
AdjPace 68.04 ± 8.80 (2σ)
18 games played Jan 19, 2017
AdjPace 67.80 ± 8.84 (2σ)
18 games played Jan 20, 2017
AdjPace 67.85 ± 8.80 (2σ)
19 games played Jan 21, 2017
AdjPace 67.37 ± 8.68 (2σ)
19 games played Jan 22, 2017
AdjPace 67.38 ± 8.77 (2σ)
19 games played Jan 23, 2017
AdjPace 67.46 ± 9.04 (2σ)
20 games played Jan 24, 2017
AdjPace 67.68 ± 9.03 (2σ)
20 games played Jan 25, 2017
AdjPace 67.83 ± 8.89 (2σ)
20 games played Jan 26, 2017
AdjPace 67.98 ± 9.03 (2σ)
20 games played Jan 27, 2017
AdjPace 68.00 ± 9.05 (2σ)
20 games played Jan 28, 2017
AdjPace 68.02 ± 8.90 (2σ)
20 games played Jan 29, 2017
AdjPace 67.66 ± 9.29 (2σ)
20 games played Jan 30, 2017
AdjPace 67.53 ± 8.95 (2σ)
21 games played Jan 31, 2017
AdjPace 67.76 ± 8.97 (2σ)
21 games played Feb 04, 2017
AdjPace 67.97 ± 9.03 (2σ)
22 games played Feb 05, 2017
AdjPace 67.49 ± 9.40 (2σ)
23 games played Feb 05, 2017
AdjPace 67.63 ± 8.83 (2σ)
23 games played Feb 07, 2017
AdjPace 67.60 ± 9.17 (2σ)
24 games played Feb 08, 2017
AdjPace 67.65 ± 9.06 (2σ)
24 games played Feb 09, 2017
AdjPace 68.08 ± 9.14 (2σ)
24 games played Feb 10, 2017
AdjPace 68.15 ± 9.06 (2σ)
25 games played Feb 11, 2017
AdjPace 67.96 ± 9.24 (2σ)
25 games played Feb 12, 2017
AdjPace 68.09 ± 9.12 (2σ)
25 games played Feb 13, 2017
AdjPace 68.17 ± 9.15 (2σ)
26 games played Feb 14, 2017
AdjPace 68.76 ± 9.34 (2σ)
26 games played Feb 15, 2017
AdjPace 68.66 ± 9.23 (2σ)
26 games played Feb 16, 2017
AdjPace 68.73 ± 9.29 (2σ)
27 games played Feb 17, 2017
AdjPace 68.52 ± 9.26 (2σ)
27 games played Feb 18, 2017
AdjPace 68.42 ± 9.27 (2σ)
27 games played Feb 19, 2017
AdjPace 68.38 ± 9.18 (2σ)
27 games played Feb 20, 2017
AdjPace 68.25 ± 9.25 (2σ)
28 games played Feb 21, 2017
AdjPace 68.08 ± 9.27 (2σ)
28 games played Feb 22, 2017
AdjPace 68.16 ± 9.30 (2σ)
28 games played Feb 23, 2017
AdjPace 67.99 ± 9.21 (2σ)
28 games played Feb 25, 2017
AdjPace 68.35 ± 9.22 (2σ)
28 games played Feb 26, 2017
AdjPace 68.46 ± 9.13 (2σ)
29 games played Feb 27, 2017
AdjPace 68.37 ± 9.19 (2σ)
29 games played Feb 28, 2017
AdjPace 68.02 ± 9.66 (2σ)
29 games played Mar 01, 2017
AdjPace 68.32 ± 9.18 (2σ)
29 games played Mar 02, 2017
AdjPace 68.09 ± 9.33 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 03, 2017
AdjPace 68.12 ± 9.37 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 04, 2017
AdjPace 68.31 ± 9.41 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 05, 2017
AdjPace 68.43 ± 9.13 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 06, 2017
AdjPace 68.49 ± 9.11 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 07, 2017
AdjPace 68.83 ± 9.19 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 08, 2017
AdjPace 68.58 ± 9.48 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 09, 2017
AdjPace 68.44 ± 9.22 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 10, 2017
AdjPace 68.46 ± 9.23 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 11, 2017
AdjPace 68.40 ± 9.27 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 12, 2017
AdjPace 68.24 ± 9.35 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 13, 2017
AdjPace 68.65 ± 9.22 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 14, 2017
AdjPace 68.52 ± 9.30 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 16, 2017
AdjPace 68.61 ± 9.29 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 17, 2017
AdjPace 68.61 ± 9.37 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 18, 2017
AdjPace 68.73 ± 9.39 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 19, 2017
AdjPace 68.52 ± 9.17 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 20, 2017
AdjPace 68.25 ± 9.49 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 22, 2017
AdjPace 68.17 ± 9.34 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 23, 2017
AdjPace 68.46 ± 9.16 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 24, 2017
AdjPace 68.39 ± 9.22 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 25, 2017
AdjPace 68.19 ± 9.23 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 26, 2017
AdjPace 67.76 ± 9.47 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 27, 2017
AdjPace 67.86 ± 9.18 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 29, 2017
AdjPace 67.69 ± 9.25 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 30, 2017
AdjPace 67.60 ± 9.25 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 31, 2017
AdjPace 67.65 ± 9.10 (2σ)
30 games played Apr 01, 2017
AdjPace 67.49 ± 9.37 (2σ)
30 games played Apr 02, 2017
AdjPace 67.67 ± 9.53 (2σ)
30 games played Apr 04, 2017
AdjPace 67.69 ± 9.29 (2σ)
30 games played
D-I average 68.17 (Apr 04)
Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr
Walk-forward cutoff, season 2017
AdjPace (smoothed)
±2σ, the model's own uncertainty
warm-up gate (18 games)
D-I average at the season's latest cutoff
AdjPace at each of
101 walk-forward cutoffs (train_cutoff_at) in season
2017. Hover or tap for the value, its ±2σ and games played
at that cutoff. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate : left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.