Ratings · 2018
Dimension Value Unit σ
OE
0.92
points per possession
0.13
DE
1.10
points per possession
0.13
ME
-0.18
points per possession
0.18
PACE
70.54
possessions per game
4.55
At season 2018's latest cutoff
(2018-04-01 00:49),
with 30 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game , a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season
2026 ·
2025 ·
2024 ·
2023 ·
2022 ·
2021 ·
2020 ·
2019 ·
2018 ·
2017 ·
2016 ·
2015 ·
2014
Show
AdjME ·
AdjOE ·
AdjDE ·
AdjPace
Series
smoothed ·
raw fit
Warm-up
shown ·
hide
AdjPace (possessions per game)
65 70 75 80
Maine AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffs warm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated D-I average 67.37 (Apr 01) Dec 12, 2017
AdjPace 71.95 ± 8.35 (2σ)
9 games played Dec 15, 2017
AdjPace 71.98 ± 8.60 (2σ)
9 games played Dec 16, 2017
AdjPace 71.90 ± 8.42 (2σ)
9 games played Dec 17, 2017
AdjPace 72.15 ± 8.29 (2σ)
9 games played Dec 18, 2017
AdjPace 71.95 ± 8.44 (2σ)
10 games played Dec 19, 2017
AdjPace 72.09 ± 8.90 (2σ)
10 games played Dec 20, 2017
AdjPace 72.51 ± 8.55 (2σ)
10 games played Dec 21, 2017
AdjPace 72.30 ± 8.41 (2σ)
11 games played Dec 22, 2017
AdjPace 72.17 ± 8.59 (2σ)
11 games played Dec 23, 2017
AdjPace 71.64 ± 8.65 (2σ)
12 games played Dec 24, 2017
AdjPace 71.37 ± 8.41 (2σ)
12 games played Dec 26, 2017
AdjPace 71.17 ± 8.77 (2σ)
12 games played Dec 28, 2017
AdjPace 71.01 ± 8.61 (2σ)
12 games played Dec 29, 2017
AdjPace 71.01 ± 8.63 (2σ)
12 games played Dec 30, 2017
AdjPace 70.79 ± 8.47 (2σ)
12 games played Jan 01, 2018
AdjPace 70.72 ± 8.63 (2σ)
13 games played Jan 02, 2018
AdjPace 70.74 ± 8.72 (2σ)
13 games played Jan 03, 2018
AdjPace 70.77 ± 8.88 (2σ)
13 games played Jan 04, 2018
AdjPace 70.59 ± 8.62 (2σ)
14 games played Jan 05, 2018
AdjPace 70.62 ± 8.83 (2σ)
14 games played Jan 06, 2018
AdjPace 70.60 ± 8.61 (2σ)
14 games played Jan 08, 2018
AdjPace 70.61 ± 8.76 (2σ)
15 games played Jan 09, 2018
AdjPace 70.24 ± 9.03 (2σ)
15 games played Jan 10, 2018
AdjPace 70.65 ± 8.64 (2σ)
15 games played Jan 11, 2018
AdjPace 70.79 ± 8.69 (2σ)
16 games played Jan 12, 2018
AdjPace 70.93 ± 8.64 (2σ)
16 games played Jan 13, 2018
AdjPace 71.31 ± 8.87 (2σ)
16 games played Jan 14, 2018
AdjPace 71.50 ± 8.70 (2σ)
17 games played Jan 15, 2018
AdjPace 71.62 ± 8.61 (2σ)
17 games played Jan 16, 2018
AdjPace 71.89 ± 8.89 (2σ)
18 games played Jan 17, 2018
AdjPace 71.84 ± 8.69 (2σ)
18 games played Jan 18, 2018
AdjPace 71.92 ± 8.73 (2σ)
18 games played Jan 19, 2018
AdjPace 71.57 ± 9.18 (2σ)
19 games played Jan 20, 2018
AdjPace 71.82 ± 8.78 (2σ)
19 games played Jan 21, 2018
AdjPace 71.86 ± 8.90 (2σ)
19 games played Jan 22, 2018
AdjPace 71.66 ± 8.90 (2σ)
19 games played Jan 23, 2018
AdjPace 71.46 ± 9.09 (2σ)
19 games played Jan 24, 2018
AdjPace 71.59 ± 8.85 (2σ)
19 games played Jan 25, 2018
AdjPace 72.01 ± 8.95 (2σ)
20 games played Jan 26, 2018
AdjPace 72.03 ± 8.88 (2σ)
20 games played Jan 27, 2018
AdjPace 71.90 ± 8.80 (2σ)
20 games played Jan 28, 2018
AdjPace 72.04 ± 8.95 (2σ)
21 games played Jan 29, 2018
AdjPace 72.13 ± 8.91 (2σ)
21 games played Jan 30, 2018
AdjPace 72.24 ± 8.99 (2σ)
21 games played Jan 31, 2018
AdjPace 72.55 ± 9.03 (2σ)
21 games played Feb 01, 2018
AdjPace 72.64 ± 8.93 (2σ)
22 games played Feb 02, 2018
AdjPace 72.60 ± 8.95 (2σ)
22 games played Feb 03, 2018
AdjPace 72.32 ± 8.96 (2σ)
22 games played Feb 04, 2018
AdjPace 72.28 ± 9.14 (2σ)
23 games played Feb 04, 2018
AdjPace 72.32 ± 9.01 (2σ)
23 games played Feb 06, 2018
AdjPace 72.61 ± 8.99 (2σ)
23 games played Feb 07, 2018
AdjPace 72.63 ± 8.94 (2σ)
23 games played Feb 08, 2018
AdjPace 72.64 ± 8.89 (2σ)
23 games played Feb 09, 2018
AdjPace 72.77 ± 8.97 (2σ)
24 games played Feb 10, 2018
AdjPace 72.84 ± 8.98 (2σ)
24 games played Feb 11, 2018
AdjPace 72.93 ± 9.06 (2σ)
24 games played Feb 12, 2018
AdjPace 72.67 ± 9.08 (2σ)
25 games played Feb 13, 2018
AdjPace 72.73 ± 9.03 (2σ)
25 games played Feb 14, 2018
AdjPace 72.97 ± 8.99 (2σ)
25 games played Feb 15, 2018
AdjPace 72.80 ± 8.96 (2σ)
25 games played Feb 16, 2018
AdjPace 72.77 ± 9.02 (2σ)
26 games played Feb 17, 2018
AdjPace 72.78 ± 9.06 (2σ)
26 games played Feb 18, 2018
AdjPace 72.99 ± 9.32 (2σ)
26 games played Feb 19, 2018
AdjPace 72.77 ± 8.94 (2σ)
26 games played Feb 20, 2018
AdjPace 72.24 ± 9.29 (2σ)
26 games played Feb 21, 2018
AdjPace 72.43 ± 9.12 (2σ)
26 games played Feb 22, 2018
AdjPace 72.83 ± 9.26 (2σ)
27 games played Feb 23, 2018
AdjPace 72.75 ± 9.05 (2σ)
27 games played Feb 24, 2018
AdjPace 72.43 ± 8.96 (2σ)
27 games played Feb 25, 2018
AdjPace 72.52 ± 9.07 (2σ)
28 games played Feb 26, 2018
AdjPace 72.75 ± 9.09 (2σ)
28 games played Feb 27, 2018
AdjPace 72.69 ± 9.21 (2σ)
28 games played Feb 28, 2018
AdjPace 72.66 ± 9.09 (2σ)
29 games played Mar 01, 2018
AdjPace 72.55 ± 9.09 (2σ)
29 games played Mar 02, 2018
AdjPace 72.69 ± 9.01 (2σ)
29 games played Mar 03, 2018
AdjPace 72.74 ± 9.08 (2σ)
29 games played Mar 04, 2018
AdjPace 73.03 ± 9.21 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 05, 2018
AdjPace 72.83 ± 9.22 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 06, 2018
AdjPace 73.07 ± 9.13 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 07, 2018
AdjPace 73.38 ± 9.59 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 08, 2018
AdjPace 73.08 ± 9.25 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 09, 2018
AdjPace 72.93 ± 9.11 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 10, 2018
AdjPace 73.01 ± 9.33 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 11, 2018
AdjPace 72.69 ± 9.42 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 11, 2018
AdjPace 72.52 ± 9.13 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 13, 2018
AdjPace 72.37 ± 9.07 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 14, 2018
AdjPace 72.16 ± 9.07 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 15, 2018
AdjPace 71.94 ± 9.28 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 16, 2018
AdjPace 71.85 ± 9.27 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 17, 2018
AdjPace 71.65 ± 9.16 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 18, 2018
AdjPace 71.58 ± 9.11 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 19, 2018
AdjPace 71.65 ± 9.48 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 20, 2018
AdjPace 71.39 ± 9.04 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 21, 2018
AdjPace 71.21 ± 9.07 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 22, 2018
AdjPace 71.14 ± 9.16 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 23, 2018
AdjPace 71.29 ± 9.23 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 24, 2018
AdjPace 71.31 ± 9.17 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 25, 2018
AdjPace 71.08 ± 9.26 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 25, 2018
AdjPace 70.86 ± 9.41 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 27, 2018
AdjPace 70.88 ± 9.27 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 28, 2018
AdjPace 70.97 ± 9.12 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 29, 2018
AdjPace 70.74 ± 9.28 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 30, 2018
AdjPace 70.52 ± 9.24 (2σ)
30 games played Apr 01, 2018
AdjPace 70.54 ± 9.11 (2σ)
30 games played D-I average 67.37 (Apr 01)
Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr
Walk-forward cutoff, season 2018
AdjPace at each of
104 walk-forward cutoffs (train_cutoff_at) in season
2018. Hover or tap for the value, its ±2σ and games played
at that cutoff. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate : left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.