Ratings · 2019
Dimension Value Unit σ
OE
0.93
points per possession
0.13
DE
1.13
points per possession
0.13
ME
-0.20
points per possession
0.19
PACE
65.67
possessions per game
4.54
At season 2019's latest cutoff
(2019-04-07 00:49),
with 31 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game , a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season
2026 ·
2025 ·
2024 ·
2023 ·
2022 ·
2021 ·
2020 ·
2019 ·
2018 ·
2017 ·
2016 ·
2015 ·
2014
Show
AdjME ·
AdjOE ·
AdjDE ·
AdjPace
Series
smoothed ·
raw fit
Warm-up
shown ·
hide
AdjPace (possessions per game)
60 65 70 75
Maine AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffs warm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated D-I average 68.44 (Apr 07) Dec 11, 2018
AdjPace 65.65 ± 8.47 (2σ)
10 games played Dec 13, 2018
AdjPace 65.75 ± 8.40 (2σ)
10 games played Dec 15, 2018
AdjPace 66.03 ± 8.62 (2σ)
10 games played Dec 16, 2018
AdjPace 65.96 ± 8.35 (2σ)
10 games played Dec 17, 2018
AdjPace 65.94 ± 8.50 (2σ)
11 games played Dec 18, 2018
AdjPace 65.62 ± 8.79 (2σ)
11 games played Dec 19, 2018
AdjPace 65.64 ± 8.57 (2σ)
11 games played Dec 20, 2018
AdjPace 65.68 ± 8.54 (2σ)
11 games played Dec 21, 2018
AdjPace 65.72 ± 8.56 (2σ)
11 games played Dec 22, 2018
AdjPace 65.82 ± 8.53 (2σ)
11 games played Dec 23, 2018
AdjPace 66.19 ± 8.48 (2σ)
12 games played Dec 24, 2018
AdjPace 66.39 ± 8.41 (2σ)
12 games played Dec 26, 2018
AdjPace 66.37 ± 8.61 (2σ)
12 games played Dec 28, 2018
AdjPace 66.59 ± 8.83 (2σ)
12 games played Dec 29, 2018
AdjPace 66.75 ± 8.56 (2σ)
12 games played Dec 30, 2018
AdjPace 66.78 ± 8.57 (2σ)
13 games played Dec 31, 2018
AdjPace 66.81 ± 8.51 (2σ)
13 games played Jan 01, 2019
AdjPace 66.82 ± 8.69 (2σ)
13 games played Jan 02, 2019
AdjPace 66.71 ± 8.62 (2σ)
13 games played Jan 03, 2019
AdjPace 66.62 ± 8.62 (2σ)
14 games played Jan 04, 2019
AdjPace 66.15 ± 9.15 (2σ)
14 games played Jan 05, 2019
AdjPace 66.27 ± 8.69 (2σ)
14 games played Jan 06, 2019
AdjPace 66.68 ± 8.62 (2σ)
15 games played Jan 07, 2019
AdjPace 66.30 ± 8.79 (2σ)
15 games played Jan 08, 2019
AdjPace 66.16 ± 8.74 (2σ)
15 games played Jan 09, 2019
AdjPace 66.02 ± 8.86 (2σ)
15 games played Jan 10, 2019
AdjPace 65.96 ± 8.89 (2σ)
16 games played Jan 11, 2019
AdjPace 66.11 ± 8.83 (2σ)
16 games played Jan 12, 2019
AdjPace 66.27 ± 9.06 (2σ)
16 games played Jan 13, 2019
AdjPace 66.23 ± 9.07 (2σ)
17 games played Jan 14, 2019
AdjPace 66.33 ± 8.94 (2σ)
17 games played Jan 15, 2019
AdjPace 66.43 ± 8.88 (2σ)
17 games played Jan 16, 2019
AdjPace 66.56 ± 8.84 (2σ)
17 games played Jan 17, 2019
AdjPace 66.81 ± 9.23 (2σ)
18 games played Jan 18, 2019
AdjPace 66.62 ± 8.92 (2σ)
18 games played Jan 19, 2019
AdjPace 66.83 ± 8.89 (2σ)
18 games played Jan 20, 2019
AdjPace 66.99 ± 8.97 (2σ)
19 games played Jan 21, 2019
AdjPace 66.94 ± 9.02 (2σ)
19 games played Jan 22, 2019
AdjPace 66.71 ± 9.15 (2σ)
19 games played Jan 23, 2019
AdjPace 66.86 ± 8.81 (2σ)
19 games played Jan 24, 2019
AdjPace 66.94 ± 9.08 (2σ)
19 games played Jan 25, 2019
AdjPace 67.08 ± 8.79 (2σ)
19 games played Jan 26, 2019
AdjPace 67.03 ± 8.95 (2σ)
19 games played Jan 27, 2019
AdjPace 67.02 ± 8.98 (2σ)
20 games played Jan 28, 2019
AdjPace 67.09 ± 9.03 (2σ)
20 games played Jan 29, 2019
AdjPace 67.34 ± 8.94 (2σ)
20 games played Jan 30, 2019
AdjPace 67.41 ± 9.25 (2σ)
20 games played Jan 31, 2019
AdjPace 67.29 ± 9.04 (2σ)
21 games played Feb 01, 2019
AdjPace 67.40 ± 9.04 (2σ)
21 games played Feb 02, 2019
AdjPace 67.37 ± 8.94 (2σ)
21 games played Feb 03, 2019
AdjPace 67.41 ± 9.28 (2σ)
21 games played Feb 03, 2019
AdjPace 67.46 ± 9.19 (2σ)
22 games played Feb 05, 2019
AdjPace 67.39 ± 9.03 (2σ)
22 games played Feb 07, 2019
AdjPace 67.40 ± 9.31 (2σ)
23 games played Feb 08, 2019
AdjPace 67.39 ± 8.99 (2σ)
23 games played Feb 09, 2019
AdjPace 67.71 ± 9.01 (2σ)
23 games played Feb 10, 2019
AdjPace 67.64 ± 9.21 (2σ)
23 games played Feb 11, 2019
AdjPace 67.61 ± 9.15 (2σ)
24 games played Feb 12, 2019
AdjPace 67.49 ± 9.10 (2σ)
24 games played Feb 13, 2019
AdjPace 67.37 ± 9.20 (2σ)
24 games played Feb 14, 2019
AdjPace 67.26 ± 9.16 (2σ)
25 games played Feb 15, 2019
AdjPace 67.15 ± 9.14 (2σ)
25 games played Feb 16, 2019
AdjPace 67.18 ± 9.18 (2σ)
25 games played Feb 17, 2019
AdjPace 67.23 ± 9.09 (2σ)
25 games played Feb 18, 2019
AdjPace 67.22 ± 9.19 (2σ)
26 games played Feb 20, 2019
AdjPace 66.92 ± 9.26 (2σ)
26 games played Feb 21, 2019
AdjPace 66.79 ± 9.36 (2σ)
26 games played Feb 22, 2019
AdjPace 66.38 ± 9.23 (2σ)
26 games played Feb 23, 2019
AdjPace 66.10 ± 9.56 (2σ)
26 games played Feb 24, 2019
AdjPace 66.18 ± 9.19 (2σ)
27 games played Feb 25, 2019
AdjPace 65.85 ± 9.42 (2σ)
27 games played Feb 26, 2019
AdjPace 66.14 ± 9.35 (2σ)
27 games played Feb 27, 2019
AdjPace 66.21 ± 9.19 (2σ)
27 games played Feb 28, 2019
AdjPace 66.38 ± 9.48 (2σ)
28 games played Mar 01, 2019
AdjPace 66.46 ± 9.39 (2σ)
28 games played Mar 02, 2019
AdjPace 66.58 ± 9.39 (2σ)
28 games played Mar 03, 2019
AdjPace 66.51 ± 9.37 (2σ)
29 games played Mar 04, 2019
AdjPace 66.65 ± 9.20 (2σ)
29 games played Mar 05, 2019
AdjPace 66.85 ± 9.32 (2σ)
29 games played Mar 06, 2019
AdjPace 66.83 ± 9.35 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 07, 2019
AdjPace 66.92 ± 9.26 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 08, 2019
AdjPace 66.66 ± 9.39 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 09, 2019
AdjPace 66.73 ± 9.18 (2σ)
30 games played Mar 10, 2019
AdjPace 66.81 ± 9.43 (2σ)
31 games played Mar 11, 2019
AdjPace 66.71 ± 9.28 (2σ)
31 games played Mar 12, 2019
AdjPace 67.08 ± 9.58 (2σ)
31 games played Mar 13, 2019
AdjPace 66.76 ± 9.31 (2σ)
31 games played Mar 16, 2019
AdjPace 66.76 ± 9.50 (2σ)
31 games played Mar 17, 2019
AdjPace 66.18 ± 9.25 (2σ)
31 games played Mar 17, 2019
AdjPace 65.94 ± 9.37 (2σ)
31 games played Mar 18, 2019
AdjPace 65.50 ± 9.59 (2σ)
31 games played Mar 20, 2019
AdjPace 65.52 ± 9.17 (2σ)
31 games played Mar 21, 2019
AdjPace 65.39 ± 9.29 (2σ)
31 games played Mar 22, 2019
AdjPace 65.29 ± 9.30 (2σ)
31 games played Mar 23, 2019
AdjPace 65.36 ± 9.39 (2σ)
31 games played Mar 24, 2019
AdjPace 65.45 ± 9.17 (2σ)
31 games played Mar 25, 2019
AdjPace 65.29 ± 9.32 (2σ)
31 games played Mar 26, 2019
AdjPace 65.70 ± 9.25 (2σ)
31 games played Mar 27, 2019
AdjPace 65.38 ± 9.33 (2σ)
31 games played Mar 28, 2019
AdjPace 65.54 ± 9.24 (2σ)
31 games played Mar 29, 2019
AdjPace 65.42 ± 9.25 (2σ)
31 games played Mar 30, 2019
AdjPace 65.52 ± 9.34 (2σ)
31 games played Mar 31, 2019
AdjPace 65.45 ± 9.32 (2σ)
31 games played Mar 31, 2019
AdjPace 65.39 ± 9.33 (2σ)
31 games played Apr 01, 2019
AdjPace 65.31 ± 9.21 (2σ)
31 games played Apr 03, 2019
AdjPace 65.13 ± 9.26 (2σ)
31 games played Apr 04, 2019
AdjPace 65.49 ± 9.30 (2σ)
31 games played Apr 04, 2019
AdjPace 65.66 ± 9.29 (2σ)
31 games played Apr 05, 2019
AdjPace 65.74 ± 9.23 (2σ)
31 games played Apr 07, 2019
AdjPace 65.67 ± 9.07 (2σ)
31 games played D-I average 68.44 (Apr 07)
Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr
Walk-forward cutoff, season 2019
AdjPace at each of
110 walk-forward cutoffs (train_cutoff_at) in season
2019. Hover or tap for the value, its ±2σ and games played
at that cutoff. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate : left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.