cbb·system

Utah State Aggies

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.88 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.01 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.13 points per possession 0.18
PACE 64.73 possessions per game 5.12

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Utah State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans -0.56 to 0.26 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
2018723 0.233

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUtah State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-05 2018 Utah State @ Air Force N 54–68 conf_tournament
2018-03-03 2018 Utah State @ UNLV 58–68 regular
2018-02-28 2018 San José State @ Utah State 78–86 regular
2018-02-24 2018 Air Force @ Utah State 55–57 regular
2018-02-17 2018 Utah State @ Nevada 78–85 regular
2018-02-15 2018 New Mexico @ Utah State 74–50 regular
2018-02-10 2018 Utah State @ Boise State 60–68 regular
2018-02-08 2018 Wyoming @ Utah State 64–46 regular
2018-02-01 2018 Utah State @ New Mexico 47–80 regular
2018-01-27 2018 Fresno State @ Utah State 52–60 regular
2018-01-25 2018 Utah State @ Air Force 50–57 regular
2018-01-20 2018 Utah State @ Wyoming 44–61 regular
2018-01-18 2018 Boise State @ Utah State 64–42 regular
2018-01-13 2018 Nevada @ Utah State 57–79 regular
2018-01-11 2018 Utah State @ Colorado State 45–56 regular
2018-01-06 2018 UNLV @ Utah State 63–54 regular
2018-01-04 2018 Utah State @ Fresno State 56–57 regular
2017-12-30 2018 San Diego State @ Utah State 58–62 regular
2017-12-29 2018 Utah State @ San José State 66–79 regular
2017-12-19 2018 Utah @ Utah State 79–44 regular
2017-12-16 2018 Denver @ Utah State 74–72 regular
2017-12-09 2018 Utah State @ Utah Valley 43–61 regular
2017-12-06 2018 Utah State @ BYU 76–69 regular
2017-12-03 2018 Utah State @ Oregon State N 55–94 regular
2017-12-02 2018 Montana State @ Utah State N 64–52 regular
2017-11-28 2018 Utah State @ Idaho State 44–64 regular
2017-11-22 2018 Utah State @ Southern Utah 67–70 regular
2017-11-18 2018 Arizona @ Utah State 65–49 regular
2017-11-14 2018 Utah Tech @ Utah State 72–92 regular
2017-11-11 2018 Utah State @ UC Irvine 84–87 regular