cbb·system

Cal Poly Mustangs

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.84 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.95 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.11 points per possession 0.19
PACE 66.79 possessions per game 4.92

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-06 19:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Cal Poly AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans -0.53 to 0.45 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20251418 0.438

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbCal Poly auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-13 2025 Cal Poly @ UC San Diego N 54–59 conf_tournament
2025-03-12 2025 Cal Poly @ UC Santa Barbara N 56–54 conf_tournament
2025-03-08 2025 Long Beach State @ Cal Poly 72–64 regular
2025-03-07 2025 Cal Poly @ Cal State Fullerton 68–62 regular
2025-03-01 2025 Cal Poly @ Cal State Bakersfield 57–51 regular
2025-02-28 2025 UC Santa Barbara @ Cal Poly 63–60 regular
2025-02-22 2025 Cal Poly @ UC Riverside 63–74 regular
2025-02-21 2025 Cal Poly @ UC San Diego 49–66 regular
2025-02-15 2025 Cal State Northridge @ Cal Poly 34–75 regular
2025-02-14 2025 Cal State Fullerton @ Cal Poly 67–64 regular
2025-02-07 2025 Cal Poly @ Hawai'i 43–67 regular
2025-02-01 2025 UC Riverside @ Cal Poly 64–56 regular
2025-01-31 2025 Cal State Bakersfield @ Cal Poly 42–51 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Cal Poly @ Long Beach State 78–71 regular
2025-01-18 2025 UC Irvine @ Cal Poly 59–57 regular
2025-01-17 2025 Cal Poly @ UC Davis 51–63 regular
2025-01-12 2025 Cal Poly @ UC Santa Barbara 51–50 regular
2025-01-10 2025 UC San Diego @ Cal Poly 56–61 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Hawai'i @ Cal Poly 62–50 regular
2025-01-03 2025 Cal Poly @ UC Irvine 38–60 regular
2024-12-28 2025 Cal Poly @ Southern Utah 66–58 regular
2024-12-20 2025 Seattle U @ Cal Poly 42–67 regular
2024-12-17 2025 Cal Poly @ UCLA 37–69 regular
2024-12-07 2025 Cal Poly @ Cal State Northridge 58–45 regular
2024-12-06 2025 UC Davis @ Cal Poly 66–60 regular
2024-11-26 2025 Cal Poly @ Stanford 45–81 regular
2024-11-23 2025 Idaho @ Cal Poly 74–54 regular
2024-11-20 2025 Life Pacific @ Cal Poly 36–82 non_d1
2024-11-15 2025 Cal Poly @ Montana 65–55 regular
2024-11-12 2025 Cal Poly @ Montana State 57–75 regular
2024-11-09 2025 Cal Poly @ USC 35–90 regular
2024-11-07 2025 UC Merced @ Cal Poly 40–72 non_d1