cbb·system

Virginia Cavaliers

mens ACC canonical name from espn_mbb #4 Round of 64 (out) 2023

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.12 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.96 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.16 points per possession 0.19
PACE 61.08 possessions per game 4.68

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up show · hidden

Virginia AdjME across walk-forward cutoffs
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans -0.25 to 0.61 over 71 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
2023258 0.758

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdVirginia auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-16 2023 Furman @ Virginia N 68–67 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-12 2023 Duke @ Virginia N 59–49 conf_tournament
2023-03-11 2023 Clemson @ Virginia N 56–76 conf_tournament
2023-03-10 2023 North Carolina @ Virginia N 59–68 conf_tournament
2023-03-04 2023 Louisville @ Virginia 60–75 regular
2023-03-01 2023 Clemson @ Virginia 57–64 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Virginia @ North Carolina 63–71 regular
2023-02-23 2023 Virginia @ Boston College 48–63 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Notre Dame @ Virginia 55–57 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Virginia @ Louisville 61–58 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Duke @ Virginia 62–69 regular
2023-02-08 2023 NC State @ Virginia 50–63 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Virginia @ Virginia Tech 68–74 regular
2023-01-31 2023 Virginia @ Syracuse 67–62 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Boston College @ Virginia 57–76 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Virginia @ Wake Forest 76–67 regular
2023-01-19 2023 Virginia Tech @ Virginia 68–78 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Virginia @ Florida State 67–58 regular
2023-01-11 2023 North Carolina @ Virginia 58–65 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Syracuse @ Virginia 66–73 regular
2023-01-04 2023 Virginia @ Pittsburgh 65–68 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Virginia @ Georgia Tech 74–56 regular
2022-12-28 2023 UAlbany @ Virginia 46–66 regular
2022-12-21 2023 Virginia @ Miami 64–66 regular
2022-12-17 2023 Houston @ Virginia 69–61 regular
2022-12-07 2023 James Madison @ Virginia 50–55 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Florida State @ Virginia 57–62 regular
2022-11-30 2023 Virginia @ Michigan 70–68 regular
2022-11-25 2023 Maryland Eastern Shore @ Virginia 45–72 regular
2022-11-20 2023 Illinois @ Virginia N 61–70 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Virginia @ Baylor N 86–79 regular
2022-11-15 2023 Northern Iowa @ Virginia canceled regular
2022-11-12 2023 Monmouth @ Virginia 42–89 regular
2022-11-08 2023 North Carolina Central @ Virginia 61–73 regular