Virginia Cavaliers
mens
ACC
canonical name from espn_mbb
#10 Play-in (out) 2024
Ratings · 2024
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.06 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.92 | points per possession | 0.15 |
| ME | 0.14 | points per possession | 0.20 |
| PACE | 60.93 | possessions per game | 4.85 |
At season 2024's latest cutoff
(2024-04-09 01:20),
with 34 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2024.
Axis spans -0.28 to 0.62 over
135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2024
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | 11 | 0.676 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Virginia | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-20 | 2024 | Colorado State @ Virginia N | 67–42 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2024-03-16 | 2024 | NC State @ Virginia N | 73–65 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-15 | 2024 | Boston College @ Virginia N | 60–66 | conf_tournament |
| 2024-03-10 | 2024 | Georgia Tech @ Virginia | 57–72 | regular |
| 2024-03-02 | 2024 | Virginia @ Duke | 48–73 | regular |
| 2024-02-29 | 2024 | Virginia @ Boston College | 72–68 | regular |
| 2024-02-24 | 2024 | North Carolina @ Virginia | 54–44 | regular |
| 2024-02-20 | 2024 | Virginia @ Virginia Tech | 41–75 | regular |
| 2024-02-17 | 2024 | Wake Forest @ Virginia | 47–49 | regular |
| 2024-02-14 | 2024 | Pittsburgh @ Virginia | 74–63 | regular |
| 2024-02-11 | 2024 | Virginia @ Florida State | 80–76 | regular |
| 2024-02-06 | 2024 | Miami @ Virginia | 38–60 | regular |
| 2024-02-03 | 2024 | Virginia @ Clemson | 66–65 | regular |
| 2024-02-01 | 2024 | Notre Dame @ Virginia | 53–65 | regular |
| 2024-01-27 | 2024 | Virginia @ Louisville | 69–52 | regular |
| 2024-01-25 | 2024 | NC State @ Virginia | 53–59 | regular |
| 2024-01-20 | 2024 | Virginia @ Georgia Tech | 75–66 | regular |
| 2024-01-18 | 2024 | Virginia Tech @ Virginia | 57–65 | regular |
| 2024-01-13 | 2024 | Virginia @ Wake Forest | 47–66 | regular |
| 2024-01-06 | 2024 | Virginia @ NC State | 60–76 | regular |
| 2024-01-04 | 2024 | Louisville @ Virginia | 53–77 | regular |
| 2023-12-30 | 2024 | Virginia @ Notre Dame | 54–76 | regular |
| 2023-12-28 | 2024 | Morgan State @ Virginia | 44–79 | regular |
| 2023-12-20 | 2024 | Virginia @ Memphis | 54–77 | regular |
| 2023-12-16 | 2024 | Northeastern @ Virginia | 54–56 | regular |
| 2023-12-06 | 2024 | North Carolina Central @ Virginia | 47–77 | regular |
| 2023-12-02 | 2024 | Syracuse @ Virginia | 62–84 | regular |
| 2023-11-30 | 2024 | Texas A&M @ Virginia | 47–59 | regular |
| 2023-11-22 | 2024 | West Virginia @ Virginia N | 54–56 | regular |
| 2023-11-20 | 2024 | Wisconsin @ Virginia N | 65–41 | regular |
| 2023-11-17 | 2024 | Texas Southern @ Virginia | 33–62 | regular |
| 2023-11-15 | 2024 | North Carolina A&T @ Virginia | 51–80 | regular |
| 2023-11-11 | 2024 | Virginia @ Florida N | 73–70 | regular |
| 2023-11-07 | 2024 | Tarleton State @ Virginia | 50–80 | regular |