cbb·system

Colgate Raiders

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.85 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.02 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.17 points per possession 0.19
PACE 71.86 possessions per game 4.70

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Colgate AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -1.41 to 1.41 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20191217 0.414

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbColgate auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-11 2019 Colgate @ Lehigh 68–78 conf_tournament
2019-03-07 2019 Colgate @ Lafayette 77–67 regular
2019-03-02 2019 Holy Cross @ Colgate 80–67 regular
2019-02-28 2019 Army @ Colgate 80–85 regular
2019-02-23 2019 Colgate @ Loyola Maryland 58–47 regular
2019-02-21 2019 Lehigh @ Colgate 75–63 regular
2019-02-16 2019 Colgate @ Bucknell 58–76 regular
2019-02-14 2019 Boston University @ Colgate 61–53 regular
2019-02-09 2019 Colgate @ Navy 52–67 regular
2019-02-02 2019 American University @ Colgate 71–66 regular
2019-01-31 2019 Colgate @ Army 70–58 regular
2019-01-26 2019 Loyola Maryland @ Colgate 64–73 regular
2019-01-23 2019 Colgate @ Lehigh 58–86 regular
2019-01-19 2019 Bucknell @ Colgate 90–62 regular
2019-01-17 2019 Colgate @ Boston University 81–72 regular
2019-01-12 2019 Navy @ Colgate 62–49 regular
2019-01-09 2019 Lafayette @ Colgate 49–60 regular
2019-01-06 2019 Colgate @ American University 57–76 regular
2019-01-03 2019 Colgate @ Holy Cross 70–67 regular
2018-12-31 2019 Colgate @ Niagara 69–74 regular
2018-12-14 2019 NJIT @ Colgate 71–53 regular
2018-12-06 2019 Colgate @ UMass Lowell 61–52 regular
2018-12-02 2019 Fairleigh Dickinson @ Colgate 52–71 regular
2018-11-30 2019 Colgate @ Siena 53–55 regular
2018-11-25 2019 Columbia @ Colgate 71–84 regular
2018-11-22 2019 Canisius @ Colgate 53–67 regular
2018-11-18 2019 Colgate @ George Mason 61–64 regular
2018-11-16 2019 Cornell @ Colgate postponed regular
2018-11-09 2019 Colgate @ Dayton 58–67 regular
2018-11-06 2019 Colgate @ Yale 61–80 regular