cbb·system

Colgate Raiders

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.78 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.82 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.04 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.24 possessions per game 4.80

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Colgate AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans -0.45 to 0.35 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
2015922 0.290

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbColgate auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-07 2015 Colgate @ Army 45–48 conf_tournament
2015-03-05 2015 Boston University @ Colgate 48–58 conf_tournament
2015-03-01 2015 Colgate @ Lehigh 61–60 regular
2015-02-26 2015 Lafayette @ Colgate 36–49 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Loyola Maryland @ Colgate 53–54 regular
2015-02-19 2015 Colgate @ Army 47–48 regular
2015-02-14 2015 Colgate @ Navy 52–64 regular
2015-02-12 2015 Boston University @ Colgate 54–67 regular
2015-02-07 2015 Colgate @ American University 46–75 regular
2015-02-05 2015 Holy Cross @ Colgate 68–62 regular
2015-01-31 2015 Bucknell @ Colgate 41–54 regular
2015-01-29 2015 Colgate @ Lafayette 56–58 regular
2015-01-24 2015 Colgate @ Loyola Maryland 72–45 regular
2015-01-22 2015 Army @ Colgate 64–62 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Navy @ Colgate 65–63 regular
2015-01-15 2015 Colgate @ Boston University 53–58 regular
2015-01-10 2015 American University @ Colgate 66–58 regular
2015-01-08 2015 Colgate @ Holy Cross 76–71 regular
2015-01-03 2015 Colgate @ Bucknell 75–77 regular
2014-12-31 2015 Lehigh @ Colgate 86–68 regular
2014-12-28 2015 Colgate @ Siena 68–80 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Kent State @ Colgate 62–61 regular
2014-12-13 2015 Colgate @ Monmouth 62–82 regular
2014-12-11 2015 Binghamton @ Colgate 55–74 regular
2014-12-06 2015 UAlbany @ Colgate 67–48 regular
2014-12-03 2015 Colgate @ St. Bonaventure 49–65 regular
2014-11-28 2015 Colgate @ Rutgers 44–60 regular
2014-11-27 2015 Colgate @ Georgia 35–66 regular
2014-11-22 2015 Colgate @ Drexel 51–59 regular
2014-11-20 2015 Cornell @ Colgate 74–66 regular
2014-11-15 2015 Colgate @ Harvard 53–68 regular