cbb·system

Navy Midshipmen

mens Patriot canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.03 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.02 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.01 points per possession 0.19
PACE 64.69 possessions per game 4.43

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Navy AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans -0.44 to 0.45 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231813 0.581

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdNavy auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-03 2023 American University @ Navy 52–51 conf_tournament
2023-02-25 2023 Colgate @ Navy 64–60 regular
2023-02-23 2023 Navy @ American University 70–54 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Loyola Maryland @ Navy 53–65 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Navy @ Lehigh 75–64 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Army @ Navy 53–70 regular
2023-02-09 2023 Bucknell @ Navy 65–71 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Navy @ Holy Cross 86–68 regular
2023-02-02 2023 Navy @ Lafayette 53–34 regular
2023-01-28 2023 American University @ Navy 73–69 regular
2023-01-26 2023 Navy @ Bucknell 63–46 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Navy @ Army 77–71 regular
2023-01-19 2023 Boston University @ Navy 45–63 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Navy @ Loyola Maryland 67–69 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Lafayette @ Navy 59–50 regular
2023-01-08 2023 Lehigh @ Navy 78–73 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Navy @ Colgate 73–87 regular
2023-01-02 2023 Holy Cross @ Navy 74–63 regular
2022-12-30 2023 Navy @ Boston University 75–58 regular
2022-12-22 2023 Navy @ VCU 52–74 regular
2022-12-18 2023 Washington College (MD) @ Navy 54–93 non_d1
2022-12-11 2023 Navy @ Towson 71–69 regular
2022-12-08 2023 Navy @ West Virginia 64–85 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Navy @ VMI 72–80 regular
2022-11-30 2023 Navy @ Lipscomb 77–82 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Mount St. Mary's @ Navy 59–75 regular
2022-11-20 2023 Youngstown State @ Navy 67–80 regular
2022-11-19 2023 UC San Diego @ Navy 69–78 regular
2022-11-15 2023 Navy @ Coppin State 68–75 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Princeton @ Navy 73–74 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Navy @ William & Mary 74–59 regular