cbb·system

Villanova Wildcats

mens Big East canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.15 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.01 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.14 points per possession 0.18
PACE 62.96 possessions per game 4.55

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Villanova AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans -0.33 to 0.54 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231717 0.500

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdVillanova auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-15 2023 Villanova @ Liberty 57–62 nit
2023-03-10 2023 Villanova @ Creighton N 74–87 conf_tournament
2023-03-09 2023 Georgetown @ Villanova N 48–80 conf_tournament
2023-03-05 2023 UConn @ Villanova 71–59 regular
2023-03-01 2023 Villanova @ Seton Hall 76–72 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Creighton @ Villanova 67–79 regular
2023-02-21 2023 Villanova @ Xavier 64–63 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Villanova @ Providence 72–85 regular
2023-02-15 2023 Butler @ Villanova 50–62 regular
2023-02-12 2023 Seton Hall @ Villanova 54–58 regular
2023-02-09 2023 DePaul @ Villanova 65–81 regular
2023-02-05 2023 Villanova @ Creighton 61–66 regular
2023-02-02 2023 Villanova @ Marquette 64–73 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Providence @ Villanova 70–65 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Villanova @ St. John's 57–49 regular
2023-01-16 2023 Georgetown @ Villanova 73–77 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Villanova @ Butler 71–79 regular
2023-01-11 2023 Villanova @ DePaul 65–75 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Xavier @ Villanova 88–80 regular
2023-01-04 2023 Villanova @ Georgetown 73–57 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Marquette @ Villanova 68–66 regular
2022-12-28 2023 Villanova @ UConn 66–74 regular
2022-12-21 2023 St. John's @ Villanova 63–78 regular
2022-12-17 2023 Villanova @ Saint Joseph's 71–64 regular
2022-12-10 2023 Boston College @ Villanova N 56–77 regular
2022-12-08 2023 Pennsylvania @ Villanova 59–70 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Oklahoma @ Villanova 66–70 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Villanova @ Oregon N 67–74 regular
2022-11-25 2023 Portland @ Villanova N 83–71 regular
2022-11-24 2023 Iowa State @ Villanova N 81–79 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Villanova @ Michigan State 71–73 regular
2022-11-14 2023 Delaware State @ Villanova 50–60 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Villanova @ Temple 64–68 regular
2022-11-07 2023 La Salle @ Villanova 68–81 regular