cbb·system

TCU Horned Frogs

mens Big 12 canonical name from espn_mbb #9 Round of 32 (out) 2022

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.11 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.92 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.19 points per possession 0.19
PACE 65.64 possessions per game 4.58

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 36 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

TCU AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans -0.33 to 0.57 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20222113 0.618

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdTCU auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-21 2022 TCU @ Arizona N 80–85 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-19 2022 TCU @ Seton Hall N 69–42 ncaa_tournament
2022-03-12 2022 TCU @ Kansas 62–75 conf_tournament
2022-03-10 2022 TCU @ Texas N 65–60 conf_tournament
2022-03-05 2022 TCU @ West Virginia 64–70 regular
2022-03-04 2022 TCU @ Kansas 68–72 regular
2022-03-02 2022 Kansas @ TCU 64–74 regular
2022-02-26 2022 Texas Tech @ TCU 66–69 regular
2022-02-24 2022 TCU @ Texas 66–75 regular
2022-02-22 2022 West Virginia @ TCU 67–77 regular
2022-02-19 2022 TCU @ Baylor 62–72 regular
2022-02-16 2022 Iowa State @ TCU 54–51 regular
2022-02-12 2022 TCU @ Texas Tech 69–82 regular
2022-02-09 2022 Oklahoma State @ TCU 73–77 regular
2022-02-06 2022 Kansas State @ TCU 75–63 regular
2022-02-01 2022 TCU @ Oklahoma 72–63 regular
2022-01-29 2022 LSU @ TCU 68–77 regular
2022-01-26 2022 Texas @ TCU 73–50 regular
2022-01-22 2022 TCU @ Iowa State 59–44 regular
2022-01-20 2022 TCU @ Oklahoma State 56–57 regular
2022-01-15 2022 Oklahoma @ TCU 58–59 regular
2022-01-13 2022 TCU @ Kansas State 60–57 regular
2022-01-08 2022 Baylor @ TCU 76–64 regular
2022-01-04 2022 West Virginia @ TCU scheduled regular
2021-12-29 2022 Texas Southern @ TCU canceled regular
2021-12-22 2022 Grambling @ TCU 55–90 regular
2021-12-18 2022 TCU @ Georgetown 80–73 regular
2021-12-11 2022 TCU @ Texas A&M N 68–64 regular
2021-12-09 2022 Utah @ TCU N 62–76 regular
2021-12-03 2022 Oral Roberts @ TCU 63–71 regular
2021-11-30 2022 Austin Peay @ TCU 51–68 regular
2021-11-25 2022 TCU @ Pepperdine N 73–64 regular
2021-11-23 2022 Santa Clara @ TCU N 85–66 regular
2021-11-19 2022 Nicholls @ TCU 50–63 regular
2021-11-16 2022 Southern Miss @ TCU 51–83 regular
2021-11-12 2022 McNeese @ TCU 61–77 regular