UCF Knights
womens
canonical name from espn_wbb
Round of 64 (out) 2021
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.97 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 0.73 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.23 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 64.59 | possessions per game | 5.68 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 22:00),
with 29 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans -0.22 to 0.64 over
102 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
25).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 16 | 5 | 0.762 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| espn_wbb | UCF | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-22 | 2021 | UCF @ Northwestern N | 51–62 | ncaa_tournament |
| 2021-03-12 | 2021 | UCF @ South Florida N | 54–64 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-11 | 2021 | Houston @ UCF N | 39–61 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-10 | 2021 | Cincinnati @ UCF N | 43–53 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-03-04 | 2021 | South Florida @ UCF | 45–58 | regular |
| 2021-03-02 | 2021 | UCF @ South Florida | 62–65 | regular |
| 2021-02-27 | 2021 | Temple @ UCF | 37–61 | regular |
| 2021-02-24 | 2021 | UCF @ SMU | canceled | regular |
| 2021-02-20 | 2021 | Tulsa @ UCF | 53–55 | regular |
| 2021-02-18 | 2021 | UCF @ Tulane | 63–61 | regular |
| 2021-02-13 | 2021 | UCF @ Cincinnati | 70–51 | regular |
| 2021-02-11 | 2021 | UCF @ Wichita State | canceled | regular |
| 2021-02-07 | 2021 | South Florida @ UCF | postponed | regular |
| 2021-02-03 | 2021 | UCF @ Memphis | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-31 | 2021 | UCF @ Wichita State | postponed | regular |
| 2021-01-27 | 2021 | East Carolina @ UCF | 47–52 | regular |
| 2021-01-23 | 2021 | UCF @ Houston | 50–38 | regular |
| 2021-01-20 | 2021 | SMU @ UCF | canceled | regular |
| 2021-01-17 | 2021 | Cincinnati @ UCF | 41–57 | regular |
| 2021-01-13 | 2021 | UCF @ East Carolina | 58–51 | regular |
| 2021-01-09 | 2021 | UCF @ Temple | 58–61 | regular |
| 2021-01-03 | 2021 | Houston @ UCF | 46–55 | regular |
| 2020-12-30 | 2021 | Memphis @ UCF | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-21 | 2021 | UCF @ Georgia Tech | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-19 | 2021 | UCF @ Tulsa | 53–42 | regular |
| 2020-12-15 | 2021 | Tulane @ UCF | 62–66 | regular |
| 2020-12-13 | 2021 | Florida Gulf Coast @ UCF | 70–57 | regular |
| 2020-12-05 | 2021 | UCF @ LSU | 58–48 | regular |
| 2020-11-25 | 2021 | Virginia @ UCF | 34–60 | regular |