cbb·system

Boise State Broncos

mens Mountain West canonical name from espn_mbb #10 Round of 64 (out) 2023

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.12 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.95 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.17 points per possession 0.19
PACE 65.99 possessions per game 4.39

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Boise State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans -0.26 to 0.60 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20232410 0.706

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdBoise State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-16 2023 Boise State @ Northwestern N 67–75 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-11 2023 Utah State @ Boise State N 72–62 conf_tournament
2023-03-10 2023 UNLV @ Boise State N 76–87 conf_tournament
2023-03-05 2023 Boise State @ Utah State 73–86 regular
2023-03-01 2023 San Diego State @ Boise State 60–66 regular
2023-02-26 2023 Boise State @ San José State 68–74 regular
2023-02-23 2023 New Mexico @ Boise State 77–82 regular
2023-02-20 2023 UNLV @ Boise State 69–73 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Boise State @ Colorado State 80–78 regular
2023-02-12 2023 Wyoming @ Boise State 63–75 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Boise State @ San Diego State 52–72 regular
2023-02-01 2023 Boise State @ Air Force 59–52 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Colorado State @ Boise State 59–80 regular
2023-01-25 2023 Fresno State @ Boise State 53–63 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Boise State @ New Mexico 79–81 regular
2023-01-18 2023 Nevada @ Boise State 62–77 regular
2023-01-15 2023 Boise State @ Wyoming 85–68 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Boise State @ UNLV 84–66 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Utah State @ Boise State 59–82 regular
2023-01-04 2023 San José State @ Boise State 64–67 regular
2022-12-29 2023 Boise State @ Nevada 72–74 regular
2022-12-22 2023 Boise State @ Santa Clara 58–73 regular
2022-12-18 2023 Oakland @ Boise State 57–77 regular
2022-12-14 2023 New Orleans @ Boise State 50–91 regular
2022-12-11 2023 Boise State @ Saint Louis 57–52 regular
2022-12-07 2023 Eastern Oregon @ Boise State 54–90 non_d1
2022-12-04 2023 Boise State @ Texas A&M N 86–71 regular
2022-11-30 2023 Cal State Northridge @ Boise State 46–55 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Utah Valley @ Boise State 69–87 regular
2022-11-21 2023 Colorado @ Boise State N 55–68 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Boise State @ Loyola Chicago N 70–48 regular
2022-11-18 2023 Boise State @ Charlotte N 42–54 regular
2022-11-13 2023 Washington State @ Boise State N 61–71 regular
2022-11-10 2023 South Dakota State @ Boise State 68–66 regular