cbb·system

Little Rock Trojans

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.80 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.84 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.03 points per possession 0.19
PACE 61.48 possessions per game 4.93

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Little Rock AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans -0.53 to 0.37 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20232111 0.656

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbLittle Rock auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-17 2023 Little Rock @ SMU 42–68 other_postseason
2023-03-04 2023 Tennessee Tech @ Little Rock N 54–46 regular
2023-03-03 2023 Southeast Missouri State @ Little Rock N 35–49 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Little Rock @ Lindenwood 64–50 regular
2023-02-23 2023 Little Rock @ SIU Edwardsville 61–38 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Eastern Illinois @ Little Rock 42–46 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Southern Indiana @ Little Rock 50–58 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Little Rock @ UT Martin 53–49 regular
2023-02-09 2023 Morehead State @ Little Rock 46–61 regular
2023-02-04 2023 SIU Edwardsville @ Little Rock 59–76 regular
2023-02-02 2023 Little Rock @ Southeast Missouri State 58–39 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Little Rock @ Tennessee Tech 66–63 regular
2023-01-26 2023 Little Rock @ Morehead State 58–45 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Tennessee State @ Little Rock 36–42 regular
2023-01-19 2023 Tennessee Tech @ Little Rock 45–61 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Little Rock @ Eastern Illinois 33–44 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Little Rock @ Southern Indiana 47–44 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Southeast Missouri State @ Little Rock 45–65 regular
2023-01-04 2023 Lindenwood @ Little Rock 38–62 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Little Rock @ Tennessee State 64–57 regular
2022-12-29 2023 UT Martin @ Little Rock 44–45 regular
2022-12-21 2023 Little Rock @ Missouri State 48–55 regular
2022-12-18 2023 Arkansas State @ Little Rock 44–60 regular
2022-12-16 2023 Little Rock @ Alabama 44–69 regular
2022-12-11 2023 Little Rock @ Western Kentucky 25–48 regular
2022-12-07 2023 Texas A&M @ Little Rock 38–42 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Little Rock @ Central Arkansas 49–53 regular
2022-11-30 2023 Little Rock @ Auburn 48–70 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Oral Roberts @ Little Rock 74–62 regular
2022-11-20 2023 Arkansas @ Little Rock 93–49 regular
2022-11-13 2023 Ole Miss @ Little Rock 58–40 regular
2022-11-10 2023 Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Little Rock 56–60 regular