cbb·system

Wagner Seahawks

mens NEC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.03 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.00 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.03 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.86 possessions per game 4.44

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Wagner AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans -0.39 to 0.60 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
2022216 0.778

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdWagner auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-09 2022 Wagner @ Bryant 43–70 conf_tournament
2022-03-06 2022 Long Island University @ Wagner 62–82 conf_tournament
2022-03-03 2022 St. Francis (PA) @ Wagner 53–82 conf_tournament
2022-02-26 2022 Wagner @ Bryant 70–78 regular
2022-02-24 2022 Wagner @ Fairleigh Dickinson 86–88 regular
2022-02-19 2022 Central Connecticut @ Wagner 68–78 regular
2022-02-18 2022 Wagner @ Sacred Heart 76–67 regular
2022-02-12 2022 Merrimack @ Wagner 80–65 regular
2022-02-10 2022 Mount St. Mary's @ Wagner 57–69 regular
2022-02-05 2022 Long Island University @ Wagner 64–79 regular
2022-02-04 2022 Wagner @ Central Connecticut 54–52 regular
2022-01-30 2022 Wagner @ St. Francis Brooklyn 72–69 regular
2022-01-28 2022 St. Francis (PA) @ Wagner 54–69 regular
2022-01-23 2022 Wagner @ Merrimack 71–57 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Wagner @ Long Island University 92–85 regular
2022-01-18 2022 Fairleigh Dickinson @ Wagner 64–95 regular
2022-01-15 2022 St. Francis Brooklyn @ Wagner 76–81 regular
2022-01-08 2022 Sacred Heart @ Wagner postponed regular
2022-01-07 2022 Bryant @ Wagner 81–84 regular
2021-12-31 2022 Wagner @ Mount St. Mary's postponed regular
2021-12-30 2022 Wagner @ St. Francis (PA) 72–64 regular
2021-12-23 2022 Wagner @ Fairfield 63–50 regular
2021-12-21 2022 Delaware State @ Wagner 51–93 regular
2021-12-17 2022 Immaculata @ Wagner 46–104 non_d1
2021-12-09 2022 Wagner @ Penn State 54–74 regular
2021-12-04 2022 Wagner @ Stony Brook 78–49 regular
2021-12-02 2022 Wagner @ Seton Hall 63–85 regular
2021-11-24 2022 Wagner @ Army canceled regular
2021-11-21 2022 NJIT @ Wagner canceled regular
2021-11-18 2022 Saint Peter's @ Wagner canceled regular
2021-11-14 2022 Wagner @ VCU 58–44 regular
2021-11-10 2022 Hartford @ Wagner 59–77 regular