cbb·system

Hartford Hawks

womens canonical name from espn_scoreboard prov

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.86 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.96 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.09 points per possession 0.17
PACE 64.70 possessions per game 5.08

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Hartford AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans -0.49 to 0.28 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20141318 0.419

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbHartford auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-09 2014 Hartford @ UAlbany N 51–65 conf_tournament
2014-03-08 2014 Hartford @ Maine N 63–62 conf_tournament
2014-03-01 2014 Vermont @ Hartford 49–57 regular
2014-02-27 2014 Hartford @ Binghamton 51–55 regular
2014-02-22 2014 UMBC @ Hartford 64–80 regular
2014-02-20 2014 UMass Lowell @ Hartford 64–80 regular
2014-02-16 2014 Hartford @ New Hampshire 71–76 regular
2014-02-12 2014 Maine @ Hartford 60–56 regular
2014-02-08 2014 Hartford @ UAlbany 68–90 regular
2014-02-02 2014 Stony Brook @ Hartford 48–61 regular
2014-01-30 2014 Hartford @ Vermont 64–51 regular
2014-01-25 2014 Hartford @ UMBC 65–55 regular
2014-01-24 2014 Binghamton @ Hartford 42–66 regular
2014-01-21 2014 Hartford @ UMass Lowell 80–76 regular
2014-01-18 2014 New Hampshire @ Hartford 61–56 regular
2014-01-12 2014 UAlbany @ Hartford 69–52 regular
2014-01-09 2014 Hartford @ Stony Brook 57–61 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Dartmouth @ Hartford 43–56 regular
2013-12-29 2014 Hartford @ Penn State 56–70 regular
2013-12-21 2014 Hartford @ Sacred Heart 70–64 regular
2013-12-15 2014 Vanderbilt @ Hartford 65–56 regular
2013-12-12 2014 Hartford @ Maine 66–56 regular
2013-12-08 2014 Hartford @ Boston College 45–65 regular
2013-12-05 2014 Hartford @ Quinnipiac 49–62 regular
2013-11-30 2014 Hartford @ St. Francis Brooklyn N 49–56 regular
2013-11-29 2014 Hartford @ Missouri N 45–68 regular
2013-11-27 2014 Central Connecticut @ Hartford 82–50 regular
2013-11-23 2014 Massachusetts @ Hartford 63–59 regular
2013-11-21 2014 Hartford @ Providence 53–79 regular
2013-11-15 2014 Hartford @ Loyola Maryland 59–53 regular
2013-11-09 2014 Hartford @ UConn 34–89 regular