Alabama State Hornets
mens
SWAC
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.84 | points per possession | 0.14 |
| DE | 1.14 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| ME | -0.29 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 69.41 | possessions per game | 4.44 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 00:47),
with 21 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans -0.81 to 0.11 over
86 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 4 | 14 | 0.222 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Alabama State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-06 | 2021 | Alabama State @ Jackson State | 54–79 | regular |
| 2021-03-05 | 2021 | Alabama State @ Grambling | 68–91 | regular |
| 2021-03-02 | 2021 | Prairie View A&M @ Alabama State | 70–67 | regular |
| 2021-02-27 | 2021 | Texas Southern @ Alabama State | 86–76 | regular |
| 2021-02-24 | 2021 | Alabama State @ Alcorn State | 59–68 | regular |
| 2021-02-23 | 2021 | Alabama State @ Southern | 66–75 | regular |
| 2021-02-20 | 2021 | Alabama State @ Alcorn State | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-02-13 | 2021 | Alabama A&M @ Alabama State | 58–72 | regular |
| 2021-02-09 | 2021 | Mississippi Valley State @ Alabama State | 68–65 | regular |
| 2021-02-06 | 2021 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alabama State | 67–73 | regular |
| 2021-02-02 | 2021 | Alabama State @ Prairie View A&M | 63–87 | regular |
| 2021-01-31 | 2021 | Alabama State @ Texas Southern | 73–80 | regular |
| 2021-01-26 | 2021 | Southern @ Alabama State | 64–66 | regular |
| 2021-01-23 | 2021 | Alcorn State @ Alabama State | 57–52 | regular |
| 2021-01-16 | 2021 | Alabama State @ Alabama A&M | 63–70 | regular |
| 2021-01-12 | 2021 | Alabama State @ Mississippi Valley State | 64–51 | regular |
| 2021-01-09 | 2021 | Alabama State @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 82–91 | regular |
| 2021-01-05 | 2021 | Jackson State @ Alabama State | 60–44 | regular |
| 2021-01-02 | 2021 | Grambling @ Alabama State | 66–49 | regular |
| 2020-12-22 | 2021 | Alabama State @ North Alabama | canceled | regular |
| 2020-12-10 | 2021 | Alabama State @ Samford | canceled | regular |