cbb·system

Arizona State Sun Devils

mens Pac-12 canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2017

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.13 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.09 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.04 points per possession 0.17
PACE 70.36 possessions per game 4.58

At season 2017's latest cutoff (2017-04-04 01:20), with 33 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2017 · 2016 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Series smoothed · raw fit

Warm-up shown · hide

AdjOE (points per possession)
Arizona State AdjOE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibratedD-I average 1.06 (Apr 04)Dec 13, 2016 AdjOE 1.10 ± 0.22 (2σ) 10 games playedDec 14, 2016 AdjOE 1.10 ± 0.22 (2σ) 10 games playedDec 17, 2016 AdjOE 1.10 ± 0.22 (2σ) 10 games playedDec 18, 2016 AdjOE 1.10 ± 0.22 (2σ) 11 games playedDec 19, 2016 AdjOE 1.10 ± 0.22 (2σ) 11 games playedDec 20, 2016 AdjOE 1.10 ± 0.22 (2σ) 11 games playedDec 21, 2016 AdjOE 1.10 ± 0.22 (2σ) 12 games playedDec 22, 2016 AdjOE 1.10 ± 0.22 (2σ) 12 games playedDec 23, 2016 AdjOE 1.10 ± 0.22 (2σ) 13 games playedDec 24, 2016 AdjOE 1.11 ± 0.22 (2σ) 13 games playedDec 27, 2016 AdjOE 1.11 ± 0.22 (2σ) 13 games playedDec 28, 2016 AdjOE 1.11 ± 0.22 (2σ) 13 games playedDec 29, 2016 AdjOE 1.11 ± 0.23 (2σ) 13 games playedDec 30, 2016 AdjOE 1.11 ± 0.23 (2σ) 13 games playedDec 31, 2016 AdjOE 1.12 ± 0.22 (2σ) 14 games playedJan 01, 2017 AdjOE 1.12 ± 0.22 (2σ) 14 games playedJan 02, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.22 (2σ) 14 games playedJan 03, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.23 (2σ) 15 games playedJan 04, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.23 (2σ) 15 games playedJan 05, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.23 (2σ) 15 games playedJan 06, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.23 (2σ) 16 games playedJan 07, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.23 (2σ) 16 games playedJan 08, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.23 (2σ) 17 games playedJan 09, 2017 AdjOE 1.12 ± 0.23 (2σ) 17 games playedJan 10, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.23 (2σ) 17 games playedJan 11, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.23 (2σ) 17 games playedJan 12, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.23 (2σ) 17 games playedJan 13, 2017 AdjOE 1.14 ± 0.23 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 14, 2017 AdjOE 1.14 ± 0.23 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 15, 2017 AdjOE 1.15 ± 0.23 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 16, 2017 AdjOE 1.15 ± 0.23 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 17, 2017 AdjOE 1.15 ± 0.23 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 18, 2017 AdjOE 1.14 ± 0.23 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 19, 2017 AdjOE 1.15 ± 0.23 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 20, 2017 AdjOE 1.15 ± 0.23 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 21, 2017 AdjOE 1.14 ± 0.23 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 22, 2017 AdjOE 1.14 ± 0.23 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 23, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.23 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 24, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.23 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 25, 2017 AdjOE 1.14 ± 0.23 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 26, 2017 AdjOE 1.14 ± 0.23 (2σ) 21 games playedJan 27, 2017 AdjOE 1.14 ± 0.23 (2σ) 21 games playedJan 28, 2017 AdjOE 1.14 ± 0.24 (2σ) 21 games playedJan 29, 2017 AdjOE 1.14 ± 0.24 (2σ) 21 games playedJan 30, 2017 AdjOE 1.14 ± 0.24 (2σ) 22 games playedJan 31, 2017 AdjOE 1.15 ± 0.23 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 04, 2017 AdjOE 1.15 ± 0.24 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 05, 2017 AdjOE 1.15 ± 0.24 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 05, 2017 AdjOE 1.15 ± 0.24 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 07, 2017 AdjOE 1.15 ± 0.24 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 08, 2017 AdjOE 1.15 ± 0.23 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 09, 2017 AdjOE 1.15 ± 0.24 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 10, 2017 AdjOE 1.14 ± 0.24 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 11, 2017 AdjOE 1.14 ± 0.24 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 12, 2017 AdjOE 1.14 ± 0.24 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 13, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 14, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 15, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 16, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 17, 2017 AdjOE 1.14 ± 0.24 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 18, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 19, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 28 games playedFeb 20, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 28 games playedFeb 21, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 28 games playedFeb 22, 2017 AdjOE 1.12 ± 0.24 (2σ) 28 games playedFeb 23, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 28 games playedFeb 25, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 29 games playedFeb 26, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 29 games playedFeb 27, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 30 games playedFeb 28, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 01, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 02, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 03, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 04, 2017 AdjOE 1.14 ± 0.24 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 05, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 06, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 07, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 08, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 09, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 32 games playedMar 10, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 33 games playedMar 11, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 33 games playedMar 12, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 33 games playedMar 13, 2017 AdjOE 1.14 ± 0.24 (2σ) 33 games playedMar 14, 2017 AdjOE 1.14 ± 0.25 (2σ) 33 games playedMar 16, 2017 AdjOE 1.14 ± 0.24 (2σ) 33 games playedMar 17, 2017 AdjOE 1.14 ± 0.24 (2σ) 33 games playedMar 18, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 33 games playedMar 19, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.25 (2σ) 33 games playedMar 20, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.25 (2σ) 33 games playedMar 22, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.25 (2σ) 33 games playedMar 23, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 33 games playedMar 24, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 33 games playedMar 25, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 33 games playedMar 26, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 33 games playedMar 27, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 33 games playedMar 29, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.25 (2σ) 33 games playedMar 30, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 33 games playedMar 31, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.25 (2σ) 33 games playedApr 01, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 33 games playedApr 02, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.25 (2σ) 33 games playedApr 04, 2017 AdjOE 1.13 ± 0.24 (2σ) 33 games played
Walk-forward cutoff, season 2017
  • AdjOE (smoothed)
  • ±2σ, the model's own uncertainty
  • warm-up gate (18 games)
  • D-I average at the season's latest cutoff
AdjOE at each of 101 walk-forward cutoffs (train_cutoff_at) in season 2017. Hover or tap for the value, its ±2σ and games played at that cutoff. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjOE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2017

SeasonWLPct
20171518 0.455

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdArizona State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2017-03-09 2017 Arizona State @ Oregon N 57–80 conf_tournament
2017-03-08 2017 Stanford @ Arizona State N 88–98 conf_tournament
2017-03-04 2017 Arizona @ Arizona State 73–60 regular
2017-02-26 2017 USC @ Arizona State 82–83 regular
2017-02-24 2017 UCLA @ Arizona State 87–75 regular
2017-02-18 2017 Arizona State @ Washington State 71–86 regular
2017-02-17 2017 Arizona State @ Washington 83–81 regular
2017-02-12 2017 Stanford @ Arizona State 69–75 regular
2017-02-09 2017 California @ Arizona State 68–43 regular
2017-02-04 2017 Arizona State @ Oregon State 81–68 regular
2017-02-03 2017 Arizona State @ Oregon 70–71 regular
2017-01-29 2017 Washington State @ Arizona State 91–83 regular
2017-01-26 2017 Washington @ Arizona State 75–86 regular
2017-01-23 2017 Arizona State @ USC 79–82 regular
2017-01-20 2017 Arizona State @ UCLA 80–102 regular
2017-01-13 2017 Arizona State @ Arizona 75–91 regular
2017-01-07 2017 Utah @ Arizona State 88–82 regular
2017-01-06 2017 Colorado @ Arizona State 77–78 regular
2017-01-02 2017 Arizona State @ California 65–81 regular
2016-12-31 2017 Arizona State @ Stanford 98–93 regular
2016-12-22 2017 Central Arkansas @ Arizona State 62–98 regular
2016-12-21 2017 Creighton @ Arizona State 96–85 regular
2016-12-18 2017 New Mexico State @ Arizona State 81–70 regular
2016-12-11 2017 Arizona State @ San Diego State 74–63 regular
2016-12-07 2017 Purdue @ Arizona State N 97–64 regular
2016-12-04 2017 UNLV @ Arizona State 73–97 regular
2016-11-29 2017 Arizona State @ Kentucky N 69–115 regular
2016-11-23 2017 The Citadel @ Arizona State 110–127 regular
2016-11-20 2017 Davidson @ Arizona State N 68–60 regular
2016-11-18 2017 Arizona State @ Tulane N 80–71 regular
2016-11-17 2017 Northern Iowa @ Arizona State N 82–63 regular
2016-11-14 2017 Cal Poly @ Arizona State 74–96 regular
2016-11-12 2017 Portland State @ Arizona State 70–88 regular