cbb·system

Arizona State Sun Devils

mens Pac-12 canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.10 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.97 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.13 points per possession 0.18
PACE 65.88 possessions per game 4.73

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-04-07 01:18), with 34 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2017 · 2016 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Series smoothed · raw fit

Warm-up show · hidden

AdjPace (possessions per game)
Arizona State AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffsD-I average 63.97 (Apr 07)Jan 18, 2015 AdjPace 66.54 ± 9.23 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 19, 2015 AdjPace 66.46 ± 9.08 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 20, 2015 AdjPace 66.69 ± 9.23 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 21, 2015 AdjPace 66.67 ± 9.13 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 22, 2015 AdjPace 66.98 ± 9.23 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 23, 2015 AdjPace 66.96 ± 9.11 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 24, 2015 AdjPace 67.16 ± 9.13 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 25, 2015 AdjPace 67.17 ± 9.00 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 26, 2015 AdjPace 67.24 ± 8.99 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 27, 2015 AdjPace 67.30 ± 9.09 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 28, 2015 AdjPace 67.43 ± 9.11 (2σ) 20 games playedJan 29, 2015 AdjPace 67.51 ± 9.42 (2σ) 21 games playedJan 30, 2015 AdjPace 67.50 ± 9.05 (2σ) 21 games playedJan 31, 2015 AdjPace 67.55 ± 8.98 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 01, 2015 AdjPace 67.63 ± 9.15 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 01, 2015 AdjPace 67.69 ± 9.03 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 03, 2015 AdjPace 67.46 ± 9.23 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 04, 2015 AdjPace 67.33 ± 9.06 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 05, 2015 AdjPace 67.24 ± 9.23 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 06, 2015 AdjPace 67.30 ± 9.05 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 07, 2015 AdjPace 67.70 ± 9.10 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 08, 2015 AdjPace 67.82 ± 8.99 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 09, 2015 AdjPace 67.83 ± 9.02 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 10, 2015 AdjPace 67.64 ± 9.19 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 11, 2015 AdjPace 67.69 ± 9.17 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 12, 2015 AdjPace 67.46 ± 9.09 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 14, 2015 AdjPace 67.43 ± 9.11 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 15, 2015 AdjPace 67.66 ± 9.16 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 16, 2015 AdjPace 67.54 ± 9.34 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 17, 2015 AdjPace 67.60 ± 9.06 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 18, 2015 AdjPace 67.49 ± 9.17 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 19, 2015 AdjPace 67.03 ± 9.13 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 20, 2015 AdjPace 66.63 ± 9.25 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 21, 2015 AdjPace 66.63 ± 9.23 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 22, 2015 AdjPace 66.62 ± 9.28 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 23, 2015 AdjPace 66.35 ± 9.19 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 24, 2015 AdjPace 66.68 ± 9.25 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 25, 2015 AdjPace 66.64 ± 9.17 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 26, 2015 AdjPace 66.76 ± 9.20 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 27, 2015 AdjPace 66.71 ± 9.31 (2σ) 28 games playedFeb 28, 2015 AdjPace 66.75 ± 9.34 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 01, 2015 AdjPace 66.79 ± 9.24 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 03, 2015 AdjPace 66.72 ± 9.22 (2σ) 29 games playedMar 04, 2015 AdjPace 66.80 ± 9.17 (2σ) 29 games playedMar 05, 2015 AdjPace 66.90 ± 9.19 (2σ) 29 games playedMar 06, 2015 AdjPace 66.93 ± 9.26 (2σ) 29 games playedMar 07, 2015 AdjPace 67.03 ± 9.11 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 08, 2015 AdjPace 67.09 ± 9.19 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 09, 2015 AdjPace 67.13 ± 9.27 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 10, 2015 AdjPace 67.21 ± 9.09 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 11, 2015 AdjPace 66.73 ± 9.47 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 12, 2015 AdjPace 66.62 ± 9.22 (2σ) 32 games playedMar 13, 2015 AdjPace 66.35 ± 9.18 (2σ) 32 games playedMar 14, 2015 AdjPace 66.20 ± 9.12 (2σ) 32 games playedMar 15, 2015 AdjPace 65.60 ± 9.49 (2σ) 32 games playedMar 15, 2015 AdjPace 65.54 ± 9.30 (2σ) 32 games playedMar 16, 2015 AdjPace 65.64 ± 9.12 (2σ) 32 games playedMar 19, 2015 AdjPace 65.62 ± 9.28 (2σ) 33 games playedMar 20, 2015 AdjPace 66.00 ± 9.53 (2σ) 33 games playedMar 21, 2015 AdjPace 65.90 ± 9.30 (2σ) 33 games playedMar 22, 2015 AdjPace 66.27 ± 9.44 (2σ) 33 games playedMar 23, 2015 AdjPace 66.18 ± 9.22 (2σ) 34 games playedMar 24, 2015 AdjPace 66.14 ± 9.43 (2σ) 34 games playedMar 25, 2015 AdjPace 66.08 ± 9.39 (2σ) 34 games playedMar 26, 2015 AdjPace 65.66 ± 9.14 (2σ) 34 games playedMar 27, 2015 AdjPace 65.96 ± 9.19 (2σ) 34 games playedMar 28, 2015 AdjPace 66.28 ± 9.57 (2σ) 34 games playedMar 29, 2015 AdjPace 66.17 ± 9.11 (2σ) 34 games playedMar 29, 2015 AdjPace 65.65 ± 9.11 (2σ) 34 games playedMar 31, 2015 AdjPace 65.56 ± 9.36 (2σ) 34 games playedApr 01, 2015 AdjPace 65.40 ± 9.29 (2σ) 34 games playedApr 02, 2015 AdjPace 65.37 ± 9.26 (2σ) 34 games playedApr 03, 2015 AdjPace 65.71 ± 9.54 (2σ) 34 games playedApr 05, 2015 AdjPace 65.79 ± 9.24 (2σ) 34 games playedApr 07, 2015 AdjPace 65.88 ± 9.45 (2σ) 34 games played
Walk-forward cutoff, season 2015
  • AdjPace (smoothed)
  • ±2σ, the model's own uncertainty
  • D-I average at the season's latest cutoff
AdjPace at each of 75 walk-forward cutoffs (train_cutoff_at) in season 2015. Hover or tap for the value, its ±2σ and games played at that cutoff. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151816 0.529

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdArizona State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-22 2015 Arizona State @ Richmond 70–76 nit
2015-03-18 2015 Arizona State @ UConn 68–61 nit
2015-03-11 2015 USC @ Arizona State N 67–64 conf_tournament
2015-03-07 2015 California @ Arizona State 70–74 regular
2015-03-06 2015 Stanford @ Arizona State 62–67 regular
2015-03-02 2015 Arizona State @ Colorado 81–87 regular
2015-02-27 2015 Arizona State @ Utah 41–83 regular
2015-02-23 2015 USC @ Arizona State 59–64 regular
2015-02-19 2015 UCLA @ Arizona State 66–68 regular
2015-02-15 2015 Arizona State @ Washington 78–68 regular
2015-02-14 2015 Arizona State @ Washington State 71–74 regular
2015-02-07 2015 Arizona @ Arizona State 78–81 regular
2015-01-31 2015 Oregon @ Arizona State 68–67 regular
2015-01-29 2015 Oregon State @ Arizona State 55–73 regular
2015-01-25 2015 Arizona State @ Stanford 70–89 regular
2015-01-23 2015 Arizona State @ California 79–44 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Colorado @ Arizona State 72–78 regular
2015-01-16 2015 Utah @ Arizona State 76–59 regular
2015-01-10 2015 Arizona State @ Oregon 56–59 regular
2015-01-09 2015 Arizona State @ Oregon State 47–55 regular
2015-01-05 2015 Arizona State @ Arizona 49–73 regular
2014-12-28 2015 Harvard @ Arizona State 46–56 regular
2014-12-23 2015 Detroit Mercy @ Arizona State 54–93 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Lehigh @ Arizona State 84–81 regular
2014-12-17 2015 Arizona State @ Marquette 71–78 regular
2014-12-13 2015 Pepperdine @ Arizona State 74–81 regular
2014-12-06 2015 Arizona State @ Texas A&M 71–72 regular
2014-12-04 2015 UNLV @ Arizona State 55–77 regular
2014-11-30 2015 Colgate @ Arizona State 71–78 regular
2014-11-26 2015 Alabama @ Arizona State N 76–71 regular
2014-11-25 2015 Arizona State @ Maryland N 73–78 regular
2014-11-21 2015 Loyola Marymount @ Arizona State 44–68 regular
2014-11-18 2015 Bethune-Cookman @ Arizona State 39–49 regular
2014-11-15 2015 Chicago State @ Arizona State 50–86 regular