cbb·system

Arizona State Sun Devils

mens Pac-12 canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2020

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.07 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.94 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.13 points per possession 0.18
PACE 72.47 possessions per game 4.25

At season 2020's latest cutoff (2020-03-11 02:15), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Series smoothed · raw fit

Warm-up show · hidden

AdjPace (possessions per game)
Arizona State AdjPace across walk-forward cutoffsD-I average 68.10 (Mar 11)Jan 19, 2020 AdjPace 72.15 ± 8.77 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 20, 2020 AdjPace 71.97 ± 8.72 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 21, 2020 AdjPace 72.08 ± 8.60 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 22, 2020 AdjPace 72.07 ± 8.77 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 23, 2020 AdjPace 72.23 ± 8.59 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 25, 2020 AdjPace 72.16 ± 8.85 (2σ) 18 games playedJan 26, 2020 AdjPace 72.40 ± 8.69 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 26, 2020 AdjPace 72.35 ± 8.57 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 28, 2020 AdjPace 72.25 ± 8.74 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 29, 2020 AdjPace 72.31 ± 8.75 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 30, 2020 AdjPace 72.58 ± 9.07 (2σ) 19 games playedJan 31, 2020 AdjPace 72.98 ± 8.58 (2σ) 20 games playedFeb 01, 2020 AdjPace 72.48 ± 8.49 (2σ) 20 games playedFeb 02, 2020 AdjPace 73.22 ± 9.12 (2σ) 21 games playedFeb 02, 2020 AdjPace 73.19 ± 8.55 (2σ) 21 games playedFeb 04, 2020 AdjPace 73.07 ± 8.72 (2σ) 21 games playedFeb 05, 2020 AdjPace 73.14 ± 8.60 (2σ) 21 games playedFeb 06, 2020 AdjPace 73.05 ± 8.79 (2σ) 21 games playedFeb 07, 2020 AdjPace 73.10 ± 8.69 (2σ) 21 games playedFeb 08, 2020 AdjPace 73.16 ± 8.58 (2σ) 22 games playedFeb 09, 2020 AdjPace 73.23 ± 8.82 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 09, 2020 AdjPace 73.25 ± 8.63 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 11, 2020 AdjPace 73.53 ± 8.50 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 12, 2020 AdjPace 73.43 ± 8.84 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 13, 2020 AdjPace 73.35 ± 8.54 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 14, 2020 AdjPace 72.80 ± 8.99 (2σ) 23 games playedFeb 15, 2020 AdjPace 72.74 ± 8.43 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 16, 2020 AdjPace 72.79 ± 8.65 (2σ) 24 games playedFeb 17, 2020 AdjPace 72.36 ± 8.60 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 18, 2020 AdjPace 72.53 ± 8.52 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 19, 2020 AdjPace 72.45 ± 8.54 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 20, 2020 AdjPace 72.26 ± 8.53 (2σ) 25 games playedFeb 21, 2020 AdjPace 72.92 ± 8.50 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 22, 2020 AdjPace 73.22 ± 8.55 (2σ) 26 games playedFeb 23, 2020 AdjPace 73.28 ± 9.00 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 24, 2020 AdjPace 73.31 ± 8.64 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 25, 2020 AdjPace 73.14 ± 8.55 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 26, 2020 AdjPace 73.35 ± 8.71 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 27, 2020 AdjPace 73.28 ± 8.53 (2σ) 27 games playedFeb 28, 2020 AdjPace 72.95 ± 8.54 (2σ) 28 games playedFeb 29, 2020 AdjPace 72.83 ± 8.78 (2σ) 28 games playedMar 01, 2020 AdjPace 72.76 ± 8.48 (2σ) 29 games playedMar 01, 2020 AdjPace 72.61 ± 8.68 (2σ) 29 games playedMar 03, 2020 AdjPace 72.46 ± 8.73 (2σ) 29 games playedMar 04, 2020 AdjPace 72.40 ± 8.44 (2σ) 29 games playedMar 05, 2020 AdjPace 72.60 ± 8.88 (2σ) 29 games playedMar 06, 2020 AdjPace 72.59 ± 8.54 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 07, 2020 AdjPace 72.52 ± 8.69 (2σ) 30 games playedMar 08, 2020 AdjPace 72.64 ± 8.53 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 09, 2020 AdjPace 72.28 ± 8.83 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 10, 2020 AdjPace 72.45 ± 8.50 (2σ) 31 games playedMar 11, 2020 AdjPace 72.47 ± 8.49 (2σ) 31 games played
Walk-forward cutoff, season 2020
  • AdjPace (smoothed)
  • ±2σ, the model's own uncertainty
  • D-I average at the season's latest cutoff
AdjPace at each of 52 walk-forward cutoffs (train_cutoff_at) in season 2020. Hover or tap for the value, its ±2σ and games played at that cutoff. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjPace_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The warm-up stretch is hidden — the toggle above brings it back. This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2020

SeasonWLPct
20202011 0.645

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdArizona State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2020-03-13 2020 Washington State @ Arizona State N canceled conf_tournament
2020-03-07 2020 Washington State @ Arizona State 74–83 regular
2020-03-06 2020 Washington @ Arizona State 90–83 regular
2020-03-01 2020 Arizona State @ USC 61–71 regular
2020-02-28 2020 Arizona State @ UCLA 72–75 regular
2020-02-23 2020 Oregon State @ Arizona State 73–74 regular
2020-02-21 2020 Oregon @ Arizona State 72–77 regular
2020-02-16 2020 Arizona State @ California 80–75 regular
2020-02-14 2020 Arizona State @ Stanford 74–69 regular
2020-02-09 2020 USC @ Arizona State 64–66 regular
2020-02-07 2020 UCLA @ Arizona State 66–84 regular
2020-02-02 2020 Arizona State @ Washington 87–83 regular
2020-01-30 2020 Arizona State @ Washington State 65–67 regular
2020-01-26 2020 Arizona @ Arizona State 65–66 regular
2020-01-19 2020 Utah @ Arizona State 64–83 regular
2020-01-17 2020 Colorado @ Arizona State 68–61 regular
2020-01-12 2020 Arizona State @ Oregon 69–78 regular
2020-01-10 2020 Arizona State @ Oregon State 82–76 regular
2020-01-05 2020 Arizona State @ Arizona 47–75 regular
2019-12-28 2020 Texas Southern @ Arizona State 81–98 regular
2019-12-22 2020 Creighton @ Arizona State 67–60 regular
2019-12-19 2020 Saint Mary's @ Arizona State N 96–56 regular
2019-12-15 2020 Georgia @ Arizona State 59–79 regular
2019-12-12 2020 Prairie View A&M @ Arizona State 79–88 regular
2019-12-08 2020 Louisiana @ Arizona State 65–77 regular
2019-12-04 2020 Arizona State @ San Francisco 71–67 regular
2019-11-27 2020 Arizona State @ Princeton 67–65 regular
2019-11-24 2020 Arizona State @ Virginia N 45–48 regular
2019-11-23 2020 Arizona State @ St. John's N 80–67 regular
2019-11-17 2020 Rider @ Arizona State 55–92 regular
2019-11-15 2020 Central Connecticut @ Arizona State 49–90 regular
2019-11-09 2020 Arizona State @ Colorado N 71–81 regular