cbb·system

Arizona State Sun Devils

mens Pac-12 canonical name from espn_mbb #11 Round of 64 (out) 2023

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.08 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.96 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.12 points per possession 0.19
PACE 68.39 possessions per game 4.26

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 36 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Arizona State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans -0.28 to 0.58 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20232313 0.639

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdArizona State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-18 2023 Arizona State @ TCU N 70–72 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-16 2023 Nevada @ Arizona State N 73–98 ncaa_tournament
2023-03-11 2023 Arizona State @ Arizona N 59–78 conf_tournament
2023-03-10 2023 Arizona State @ USC N 77–72 conf_tournament
2023-03-09 2023 Oregon State @ Arizona State N 57–63 conf_tournament
2023-03-05 2023 Arizona State @ USC 65–68 regular
2023-03-03 2023 Arizona State @ UCLA 61–79 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Arizona State @ Arizona 89–88 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Utah @ Arizona State 59–67 regular
2023-02-17 2023 Colorado @ Arizona State 67–59 regular
2023-02-12 2023 Arizona State @ California 70–62 regular
2023-02-10 2023 Arizona State @ Stanford 69–65 regular
2023-02-05 2023 Oregon @ Arizona State 75–70 regular
2023-02-03 2023 Oregon State @ Arizona State 57–68 regular
2023-01-29 2023 Arizona State @ Washington State 58–75 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Arizona State @ Washington 66–69 regular
2023-01-22 2023 USC @ Arizona State 77–69 regular
2023-01-20 2023 UCLA @ Arizona State 74–62 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Arizona State @ Oregon State 74–69 regular
2023-01-13 2023 Arizona State @ Oregon 90–73 regular
2023-01-08 2023 Washington @ Arizona State 65–73 regular
2023-01-06 2023 Washington State @ Arizona State 71–77 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Arizona @ Arizona State 69–60 regular
2022-12-22 2023 Arizona State @ San Francisco 60–97 regular
2022-12-19 2023 San Diego @ Arizona State 67–91 regular
2022-12-13 2023 Arizona State @ Creighton N 73–71 regular
2022-12-08 2023 Arizona State @ SMU 75–57 regular
2022-12-05 2023 Stanford @ Arizona State 64–68 regular
2022-12-02 2023 Arizona State @ Colorado 60–59 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Alcorn State @ Arizona State 54–76 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Grambling @ Arizona State 49–80 regular
2022-11-18 2023 Michigan @ Arizona State N 62–87 regular
2022-11-17 2023 VCU @ Arizona State N 59–63 regular
2022-11-13 2023 Arizona State @ Texas Southern 66–67 regular
2022-11-11 2023 Northern Arizona @ Arizona State 68–84 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Tarleton State @ Arizona State 59–62 regular