cbb·system

Marshall Thundering Herd

mens CUSA canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.06 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.09 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.03 points per possession 0.19
PACE 68.13 possessions per game 4.34

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Marshall AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans -0.42 to 0.38 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20252013 0.606

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdMarshall auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-08 2025 Marshall @ Arkansas State N 74–77 conf_tournament
2025-03-07 2025 Georgia State @ Marshall N 76–79 conf_tournament
2025-03-01 2025 App State @ Marshall 57–75 regular
2025-02-26 2025 Old Dominion @ Marshall 66–83 regular
2025-02-22 2025 Marshall @ App State 69–59 regular
2025-02-20 2025 Marshall @ Old Dominion 81–77 regular
2025-02-16 2025 Marshall @ Louisiana 68–79 regular
2025-02-14 2025 Marshall @ South Alabama 82–91 regular
2025-02-06 2025 Arkansas State @ Marshall 72–77 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Coastal Carolina @ Marshall 62–67 regular
2025-01-31 2025 Georgia State @ Marshall 85–81 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Marshall @ Georgia Southern 71–67 regular
2025-01-24 2025 Marshall @ Georgia State 92–79 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Marshall @ Coastal Carolina 77–64 regular
2025-01-17 2025 Marshall @ James Madison 64–67 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Georgia Southern @ Marshall 69–81 regular
2025-01-10 2025 James Madison @ Marshall 78–80 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Troy @ Marshall 58–57 regular
2025-01-03 2025 Texas State @ Marshall 71–77 regular
2024-12-29 2025 Marshall @ Elon 59–73 regular
2024-12-21 2025 Marshall @ Southern Miss 66–68 regular
2024-12-17 2025 West Virginia Wesleyan @ Marshall 63–93 non_d1
2024-12-14 2025 Ohio @ Marshall 70–79 regular
2024-12-12 2025 Marshall @ Wright State 79–88 regular
2024-12-07 2025 Marshall @ UNC Wilmington 69–78 regular
2024-12-05 2025 Morehead State @ Marshall 77–80 regular
2024-12-01 2025 Marshall @ Western Kentucky 82–90 regular
2024-11-28 2025 South Carolina State @ Marshall 53–82 regular
2024-11-23 2025 Marshall @ Purdue 45–80 regular
2024-11-17 2025 Bellarmine @ Marshall 62–83 regular
2024-11-12 2025 Southern Indiana @ Marshall 63–77 regular
2024-11-09 2025 Toledo @ Marshall 90–80 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Davis & Elkins @ Marshall 57–90 non_d1