cbb·system

Northern Iowa Panthers

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.93 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.86 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.07 points per possession 0.19
PACE 65.68 possessions per game 5.05

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Northern Iowa AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans -0.33 to 0.47 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
20181914 0.576

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorthern Iowa auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-16 2018 Milwaukee @ Northern Iowa 81–67 other_postseason
2018-03-11 2018 Northern Iowa @ Drake N 63–75 conf_tournament
2018-03-10 2018 Northern Iowa @ Missouri State N 70–58 conf_tournament
2018-03-10 2018 Illinois State @ Northern Iowa N 36–56 conf_tournament
2018-03-03 2018 Northern Iowa @ Loyola Chicago 64–39 regular
2018-03-02 2018 Northern Iowa @ Valparaiso 76–53 regular
2018-02-25 2018 Bradley @ Northern Iowa 50–63 regular
2018-02-24 2018 Illinois State @ Northern Iowa 48–66 regular
2018-02-17 2018 Drake @ Northern Iowa 72–67 regular
2018-02-11 2018 Northern Iowa @ Evansville 85–60 regular
2018-02-10 2018 Northern Iowa @ Indiana State 56–46 regular
2018-02-04 2018 Southern Illinois @ Northern Iowa 63–71 regular
2018-02-03 2018 Missouri State @ Northern Iowa 57–52 regular
2018-01-28 2018 Northern Iowa @ Illinois State 58–36 regular
2018-01-27 2018 Northern Iowa @ Bradley 51–40 regular
2018-01-20 2018 Northern Iowa @ Drake 64–81 regular
2018-01-14 2018 Indiana State @ Northern Iowa 53–59 regular
2018-01-13 2018 Evansville @ Northern Iowa 41–65 regular
2018-01-07 2018 Northern Iowa @ Missouri State 52–62 regular
2018-01-06 2018 Northern Iowa @ Southern Illinois 53–60 regular
2017-12-31 2018 Valparaiso @ Northern Iowa 56–77 regular
2017-12-30 2018 Loyola Chicago @ Northern Iowa 41–70 regular
2017-12-22 2018 Northern Iowa @ Kansas State 72–71 regular
2017-12-17 2018 Iowa @ Northern Iowa 71–47 regular
2017-12-10 2018 Parkside @ Northern Iowa 62–92 non_d1
2017-12-07 2018 Northern Iowa @ Omaha 74–78 regular
2017-12-02 2018 Northern Iowa @ North Dakota 72–80 regular
2017-12-01 2018 Northern Iowa @ South Dakota State 47–57 regular
2017-11-26 2018 Northern Iowa @ UCF 43–53 regular
2017-11-25 2018 Wyoming @ Northern Iowa N 40–55 regular
2017-11-22 2018 Northern Iowa @ Creighton 78–89 regular
2017-11-15 2018 Iowa State @ Northern Iowa 53–57 regular
2017-11-11 2018 IU Indianapolis @ Northern Iowa 54–48 regular