cbb·system

Northern Iowa Panthers

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2014

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.92 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.87 points per possession 0.12
ME 0.04 points per possession 0.17
PACE 71.44 possessions per game 4.71

At season 2014's latest cutoff (2014-04-09 00:30), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Northern Iowa AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2014. Axis spans -0.54 to 0.39 over 114 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2014

SeasonWLPct
20141713 0.567

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbNorthern Iowa auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2014-03-15 2014 Illinois State @ Northern Iowa N 65–63 conf_tournament
2014-03-08 2014 Indiana State @ Northern Iowa 85–72 regular
2014-03-07 2014 Illinois State @ Northern Iowa 70–89 regular
2014-03-02 2014 Northern Iowa @ Drake 99–97 regular
2014-02-23 2014 Northern Iowa @ Bradley 81–77 regular
2014-02-22 2014 Northern Iowa @ Loyola Chicago 73–49 regular
2014-02-16 2014 Wichita State @ Northern Iowa 71–80 regular
2014-02-15 2014 Missouri State @ Northern Iowa 60–79 regular
2014-02-08 2014 Northern Iowa @ Evansville 50–59 regular
2014-02-07 2014 Northern Iowa @ Southern Illinois 78–48 regular
2014-02-02 2014 Drake @ Northern Iowa 66–64 regular
2014-01-26 2014 Loyola Chicago @ Northern Iowa 59–70 regular
2014-01-25 2014 Bradley @ Northern Iowa 65–78 regular
2014-01-21 2014 Northern Iowa @ Missouri State 68–60 regular
2014-01-18 2014 Northern Iowa @ Wichita State 47–80 regular
2014-01-12 2014 Southern Illinois @ Northern Iowa 53–87 regular
2014-01-11 2014 Evansville @ Northern Iowa 56–64 regular
2014-01-05 2014 Northern Iowa @ Illinois State 83–63 regular
2014-01-04 2014 Northern Iowa @ Indiana State 53–60 regular
2013-12-21 2014 Northern Iowa @ Northern Illinois 66–64 regular
2013-12-11 2014 Northern Iowa @ South Dakota 67–87 regular
2013-12-07 2014 Saint Louis @ Northern Iowa 65–74 regular
2013-12-05 2014 Northern Iowa @ Iowa State 55–83 regular
2013-12-01 2014 Northern Iowa @ UT Rio Grande Valley N 47–70 regular
2013-11-30 2014 Northern Iowa @ UTSA 55–63 regular
2013-11-24 2014 Iowa @ Northern Iowa 67–60 regular
2013-11-21 2014 Northern Iowa @ North Dakota State 86–82 regular
2013-11-17 2014 Northern Iowa @ South Dakota State 44–80 regular
2013-11-13 2014 North Dakota @ Northern Iowa 56–61 regular
2013-11-09 2014 Minnesota @ Northern Iowa 73–55 regular