cbb·system

Bowling Green Falcons

mens MAC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.03 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.16 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.12 points per possession 0.18
PACE 72.44 possessions per game 4.23

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Bowling Green AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans -0.51 to 0.33 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20221318 0.419

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdBowling Green auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-04 2022 Bowling Green @ Toledo 56–96 regular
2022-03-02 2022 Ohio @ Bowling Green 77–80 regular
2022-02-26 2022 Western Michigan @ Bowling Green 78–67 regular
2022-02-23 2022 Bowling Green @ Akron 68–82 regular
2022-02-19 2022 Ball State @ Bowling Green 91–82 regular
2022-02-16 2022 Buffalo @ Bowling Green 112–85 regular
2022-02-12 2022 Bowling Green @ Miami (OH) 78–94 regular
2022-02-09 2022 Bowling Green @ Kent State 68–76 regular
2022-02-05 2022 Northern Illinois @ Bowling Green 65–87 regular
2022-02-02 2022 Bowling Green @ Central Michigan 74–78 regular
2022-01-29 2022 Kent State @ Bowling Green 91–83 regular
2022-01-26 2022 Eastern Michigan @ Bowling Green 71–85 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Bowling Green @ Western Michigan 82–75 regular
2022-01-21 2022 Akron @ Bowling Green 91–66 regular
2022-01-19 2022 Bowling Green @ Northern Illinois 92–83 regular
2022-01-15 2022 Toledo @ Bowling Green 91–78 regular
2022-01-12 2022 Bowling Green @ Ohio 78–85 regular
2022-01-08 2022 Miami (OH) @ Bowling Green 83–87 regular
2022-01-06 2022 Bowling Green @ Buffalo 88–99 regular
2022-01-05 2022 Miami (OH) @ Bowling Green scheduled regular
2022-01-01 2022 Bowling Green @ Ball State 80–81 regular
2021-12-30 2022 Akron @ Bowling Green scheduled regular
2021-12-21 2022 Carlow @ Bowling Green 50–129 non_d1
2021-12-19 2022 Robert Morris @ Bowling Green 74–100 regular
2021-12-08 2022 Oakland @ Bowling Green 72–73 regular
2021-12-02 2022 Bowling Green @ Duquesne 78–70 regular
2021-11-28 2022 Chicago State @ Bowling Green 57–75 regular
2021-11-24 2022 Southern Utah @ Bowling Green N 87–73 regular
2021-11-23 2022 Milwaukee @ Bowling Green N 68–82 regular
2021-11-19 2022 Norfolk State @ Bowling Green 90–84 regular
2021-11-15 2022 Bowling Green @ Ohio State 58–89 regular
2021-11-13 2022 Ohio Wesleyan @ Bowling Green 60–101 non_d1
2021-11-10 2022 Bowling Green @ Western Carolina 71–79 regular