cbb·system

Louisville Cardinals

mens ACC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.04 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.00 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.05 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.33 possessions per game 4.45

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Louisville AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans -0.34 to 0.49 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
20221319 0.406

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdLouisville auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-10 2022 Louisville @ Virginia N 50–51 conf_tournament
2022-03-09 2022 Georgia Tech @ Louisville N 74–84 conf_tournament
2022-03-05 2022 Virginia @ Louisville 71–61 regular
2022-03-02 2022 Louisville @ Virginia Tech 43–75 regular
2022-02-27 2022 Louisville @ Wake Forest 77–99 regular
2022-02-22 2022 Louisville @ North Carolina 63–70 regular
2022-02-19 2022 Clemson @ Louisville 61–70 regular
2022-02-17 2022 Miami @ Louisville 70–63 regular
2022-02-10 2022 Louisville @ Notre Dame 57–63 regular
2022-02-05 2022 Louisville @ Syracuse 69–92 regular
2022-02-02 2022 North Carolina @ Louisville 90–83 regular
2022-01-29 2022 Duke @ Louisville 74–65 regular
2022-01-25 2022 Louisville @ Virginia 52–64 regular
2022-01-22 2022 Notre Dame @ Louisville 82–70 regular
2022-01-20 2022 Boston College @ Louisville 54–67 regular
2022-01-15 2022 Louisville @ Pittsburgh 53–65 regular
2022-01-13 2022 NC State @ Louisville 79–63 regular
2022-01-09 2022 Louisville @ Florida State 70–79 regular
2022-01-06 2022 Pittsburgh @ Louisville 72–75 regular
2022-01-02 2022 Louisville @ Georgia Tech 67–64 regular
2021-12-30 2022 Wake Forest @ Louisville 69–73 regular
2021-12-18 2022 Louisville @ Western Kentucky 72–82 regular
2021-12-14 2022 SE Louisiana @ Louisville 60–86 regular
2021-12-11 2022 DePaul @ Louisville 62–55 regular
2021-12-04 2022 Louisville @ NC State 73–68 regular
2021-12-02 2022 Louisville @ Michigan State 64–73 regular
2021-11-27 2022 Louisville @ Maryland N 63–55 regular
2021-11-26 2022 Mississippi State @ Louisville N 58–72 regular
2021-11-20 2022 Detroit Mercy @ Louisville 67–73 regular
2021-11-16 2022 Navy @ Louisville 60–77 regular
2021-11-13 2022 Furman @ Louisville 80–72 regular
2021-11-10 2022 Southern @ Louisville 60–72 regular