cbb·system

Boise State Broncos

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.91 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.91 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.01 points per possession 0.18
PACE 68.85 possessions per game 4.56

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-02 19:30), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Boise State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans -0.46 to 0.38 over 125 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231716 0.515

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbBoise State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-07 2023 Boise State @ Colorado State N 52–59 conf_tournament
2023-03-06 2023 Utah State @ Boise State N 58–66 conf_tournament
2023-03-01 2023 Boise State @ Colorado State 51–66 regular
2023-02-24 2023 Boise State @ San José State 78–70 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Utah State @ Boise State 41–89 regular
2023-02-17 2023 Boise State @ Air Force 59–54 regular
2023-02-11 2023 UNLV @ Boise State 76–63 regular
2023-02-10 2023 New Mexico @ Boise State 62–69 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Boise State @ Fresno State 66–61 regular
2023-02-03 2023 Boise State @ Nevada 62–58 regular
2023-01-31 2023 San Diego State @ Boise State 57–62 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Wyoming @ Boise State 69–62 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Air Force @ Boise State 55–60 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Boise State @ New Mexico 68–76 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Fresno State @ Boise State 53–60 regular
2023-01-17 2023 Boise State @ UNLV 61–73 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Boise State @ San Diego State 42–55 regular
2023-01-12 2023 Colorado State @ Boise State 71–50 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Boise State @ Utah State 73–56 regular
2022-12-31 2023 San José State @ Boise State 62–73 regular
2022-12-30 2023 San Diego State @ Boise State postponed regular
2022-12-20 2023 East Texas A&M @ Boise State N 66–75 regular
2022-12-20 2023 Boise State @ UT Rio Grande Valley N 60–72 regular
2022-12-12 2023 Evergreen State @ Boise State 31–97 non_d1
2022-12-10 2023 Saint Mary's @ Boise State 68–65 regular
2022-12-04 2023 Colorado @ Boise State 71–48 regular
2022-12-02 2023 BYU @ Boise State 76–67 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Milwaukee @ Boise State N 55–54 regular
2022-11-26 2023 North Dakota State @ Boise State N 68–53 regular
2022-11-20 2023 Portland State @ Boise State 61–71 regular
2022-11-17 2023 Boise State @ UC Davis 62–69 regular
2022-11-13 2023 Weber State @ Boise State 52–63 regular
2022-11-12 2023 Eastern Washington @ Boise State 83–74 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Multnomah @ Boise State 64–121 non_d1