cbb·system

Boise State Broncos

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2018

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.01 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.93 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.07 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.12 possessions per game 5.00

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Boise State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans -0.50 to 0.45 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
20182310 0.697

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbBoise State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-16 2018 Boise State @ Louisville N 42–74 ncaa_tournament
2018-03-09 2018 Nevada @ Boise State N 60–62 conf_tournament
2018-03-08 2018 Colorado State @ Boise State N 51–76 conf_tournament
2018-03-06 2018 Air Force @ Boise State N 46–60 conf_tournament
2018-03-03 2018 Boise State @ Wyoming 67–63 regular
2018-02-28 2018 San Diego State @ Boise State 53–64 regular
2018-02-22 2018 Colorado State @ Boise State 49–55 regular
2018-02-17 2018 Boise State @ Air Force 58–47 regular
2018-02-15 2018 Boise State @ Nevada 63–55 regular
2018-02-10 2018 Utah State @ Boise State 60–68 regular
2018-02-08 2018 New Mexico @ Boise State 85–91 regular
2018-02-03 2018 Boise State @ UNLV 54–77 regular
2018-01-27 2018 Air Force @ Boise State 46–49 regular
2018-01-25 2018 Boise State @ San José State 112–80 regular
2018-01-20 2018 Nevada @ Boise State 72–68 regular
2018-01-18 2018 Boise State @ Utah State 64–42 regular
2018-01-13 2018 Boise State @ San Diego State 86–70 regular
2018-01-11 2018 Fresno State @ Boise State 66–75 regular
2018-01-06 2018 Wyoming @ Boise State 66–51 regular
2018-01-04 2018 Boise State @ New Mexico 83–100 regular
2017-12-30 2018 UNLV @ Boise State 60–69 regular
2017-12-29 2018 Boise State @ Colorado State 62–58 regular
2017-12-22 2018 Saint Francis @ Boise State 59–87 regular
2017-12-21 2018 Cal State Bakersfield @ Boise State 65–59 regular
2017-12-19 2018 Washington State @ Boise State 61–53 regular
2017-12-10 2018 Boise State @ Portland 73–47 regular
2017-12-08 2018 Washington @ Boise State 62–85 regular
2017-12-03 2018 Boise State @ Eastern Washington 61–57 regular
2017-12-01 2018 Saint Mary's @ Boise State 74–72 regular
2017-11-26 2018 Corban @ Boise State 50–94 non_d1
2017-11-20 2018 Boise State @ Northern Arizona N 60–62 regular
2017-11-18 2018 San Diego @ Boise State N 72–52 regular
2017-11-11 2018 Bushnell @ Boise State 51–83 non_d1