cbb·system

California Golden Bears

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2018

Ratings · 2018

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.12 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.87 points per possession 0.14
ME 0.25 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.35 possessions per game 4.96

At season 2018's latest cutoff (2018-04-01 22:00), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

California AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2018. Axis spans -0.16 to 0.63 over 123 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2018

SeasonWLPct
20182111 0.656

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbCalifornia auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2018-03-16 2018 Virginia @ California N 68–62 ncaa_tournament
2018-03-02 2018 California @ UCLA N 74–77 conf_tournament
2018-03-01 2018 Washington @ California N 68–71 conf_tournament
2018-02-25 2018 California @ Washington 83–67 regular
2018-02-24 2018 California @ Washington State 67–54 regular
2018-02-17 2018 Stanford @ California 66–78 regular
2018-02-16 2018 California @ Stanford 69–74 regular
2018-02-11 2018 Utah @ California 73–84 regular
2018-02-10 2018 Colorado @ California 76–78 regular
2018-02-04 2018 California @ Oregon State 48–68 regular
2018-02-03 2018 California @ Oregon 54–91 regular
2018-01-28 2018 Arizona State @ California 57–42 regular
2018-01-27 2018 Arizona @ California 39–63 regular
2018-01-21 2018 California @ USC 62–59 regular
2018-01-20 2018 California @ UCLA 52–60 regular
2018-01-14 2018 Washington State @ California 60–66 regular
2018-01-13 2018 Washington @ California 60–69 regular
2018-01-07 2018 California @ Arizona 53–51 regular
2018-01-06 2018 California @ Arizona State 71–80 regular
2017-12-31 2018 UCLA @ California 82–46 regular
2017-12-30 2018 USC @ California 64–76 regular
2017-12-21 2018 California @ Kentucky 62–52 regular
2017-12-17 2018 BYU @ California 45–70 regular
2017-12-10 2018 California @ Pacific 92–85 regular
2017-12-08 2018 San Diego @ California 64–89 regular
2017-12-02 2018 California @ Santa Clara 79–41 regular
2017-11-30 2018 Seattle U @ California 67–87 regular
2017-11-25 2018 Missouri @ California 55–52 regular
2017-11-24 2018 Manhattan @ California 66–87 regular
2017-11-19 2018 California @ Brown 89–79 regular
2017-11-18 2018 California @ UConn 47–82 regular
2017-11-11 2018 Saint Mary's @ California 80–87 regular