cbb·system

Incarnate Word Cardinals

mens Southland canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.96 points per possession 0.14
DE 1.15 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.19 points per possession 0.18
PACE 66.99 possessions per game 4.31

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Incarnate Word AdjDE across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjDE (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans 0.84 to 1.41 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjDE_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231219 0.387

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdIncarnate Word auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-02 2023 Incarnate Word @ Northwestern State 64–81 regular
2023-02-25 2023 East Texas A&M @ Incarnate Word 75–79 regular
2023-02-24 2023 Northwestern State @ Incarnate Word 71–66 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Incarnate Word @ Nicholls 74–84 regular
2023-02-17 2023 Incarnate Word @ McNeese 76–78 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Houston Christian @ Incarnate Word 84–78 regular
2023-02-10 2023 Lamar @ Incarnate Word 68–59 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Incarnate Word @ New Orleans 78–70 regular
2023-02-03 2023 Incarnate Word @ SE Louisiana 67–77 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Nicholls @ Incarnate Word 67–69 regular
2023-01-27 2023 McNeese @ Incarnate Word 65–70 regular
2023-01-22 2023 Incarnate Word @ Lamar 70–64 regular
2023-01-20 2023 Incarnate Word @ Houston Christian 89–78 regular
2023-01-14 2023 SE Louisiana @ Incarnate Word 75–71 regular
2023-01-13 2023 New Orleans @ Incarnate Word 85–79 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Incarnate Word 80–71 regular
2023-01-05 2023 Incarnate Word @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 61–91 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Incarnate Word @ East Texas A&M 74–82 regular
2022-12-22 2023 Incarnate Word @ Florida International 74–79 regular
2022-12-16 2023 Bethune-Cookman @ Incarnate Word 65–77 regular
2022-12-11 2023 Incarnate Word @ Kansas State 50–98 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Incarnate Word @ Grambling 39–72 regular
2022-12-01 2023 Dallas Christian @ Incarnate Word 64–112 non_d1
2022-11-29 2023 Incarnate Word @ UTSA 62–68 regular
2022-11-27 2023 Incarnate Word @ Grambling N 63–61 regular
2022-11-25 2023 Dartmouth @ Incarnate Word N 64–69 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Our Lady Of The Lake @ Incarnate Word 76–85 non_d1
2022-11-20 2023 Incarnate Word @ Valparaiso 64–68 regular
2022-11-16 2023 Texas Lutheran @ Incarnate Word 47–84 non_d1
2022-11-12 2023 Incarnate Word @ UNLV 63–88 regular
2022-11-08 2023 North Dakota @ Incarnate Word 65–57 regular