cbb·system

Incarnate Word Cardinals

mens Southland canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2022

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.95 points per possession 0.14
DE 1.16 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.21 points per possession 0.18
PACE 64.43 possessions per game 4.62

At season 2022's latest cutoff (2022-04-05 01:20), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Incarnate Word AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022. Axis spans -0.61 to 0.16 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2022

SeasonWLPct
2022725 0.219

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdIncarnate Word auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2022-03-09 2022 Incarnate Word @ Houston Christian N 64–74 conf_tournament
2022-03-05 2022 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Incarnate Word 77–68 regular
2022-02-26 2022 Incarnate Word @ McNeese 69–67 regular
2022-02-25 2022 Incarnate Word @ Houston Christian 68–82 regular
2022-02-19 2022 SE Louisiana @ Incarnate Word 84–92 regular
2022-02-18 2022 Northwestern State @ Incarnate Word 88–64 regular
2022-02-12 2022 Incarnate Word @ New Orleans 57–84 regular
2022-02-11 2022 Incarnate Word @ Nicholls 58–69 regular
2022-02-05 2022 New Orleans @ Incarnate Word 70–78 regular
2022-02-04 2022 Nicholls @ Incarnate Word 63–60 regular
2022-01-29 2022 Incarnate Word @ SE Louisiana 68–78 regular
2022-01-28 2022 Incarnate Word @ Northwestern State 70–79 regular
2022-01-22 2022 McNeese @ Incarnate Word 82–72 regular
2022-01-21 2022 Houston Christian @ Incarnate Word 68–65 regular
2022-01-15 2022 Incarnate Word @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 64–80 regular
2022-01-08 2022 Houston Christian @ Incarnate Word N 50–60 regular
2022-01-07 2022 Northwestern State @ Incarnate Word N 83–80 regular
2022-01-07 2022 Nicholls @ Incarnate Word N 87–56 regular
2022-01-02 2022 Dallas Christian @ Incarnate Word 45–90 non_d1
2021-12-31 2022 Trinity (TX) @ Incarnate Word canceled non_d1
2021-12-29 2022 Incarnate Word @ Texas 33–78 regular
2021-12-21 2022 Incarnate Word @ Purdue 59–79 regular
2021-12-16 2022 Incarnate Word @ Rice 55–85 regular
2021-12-11 2022 Grambling @ Incarnate Word 62–72 regular
2021-12-04 2022 Incarnate Word @ Abilene Christian 65–98 regular
2021-12-02 2022 Our Lady Of The Lake @ Incarnate Word 66–93 non_d1
2021-11-28 2022 Portland @ Incarnate Word 77–68 regular
2021-11-27 2022 Montana State @ Incarnate Word 83–64 regular
2021-11-26 2022 Southeast Missouri State @ Incarnate Word 79–76 regular
2021-11-20 2022 Texas Tech @ Incarnate Word N 84–62 regular
2021-11-17 2022 Concordia-Texas @ Incarnate Word 82–78 non_d1
2021-11-13 2022 Incarnate Word @ Baylor 60–87 regular
2021-11-10 2022 Texas State @ Incarnate Word 75–57 regular