cbb·system

Tennessee State Lady Tigers

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.79 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.97 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.18 points per possession 0.19
PACE 69.25 possessions per game 4.84

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Tennessee State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -1.35 to 1.30 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
2019525 0.167

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbTennessee State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-02 2019 Tennessee State @ UT Martin 60–83 regular
2019-02-28 2019 Tennessee State @ Southeast Missouri State 57–81 regular
2019-02-23 2019 Eastern Illinois @ Tennessee State 66–70 regular
2019-02-21 2019 SIU Edwardsville @ Tennessee State 66–55 regular
2019-02-16 2019 Tennessee State @ Jacksonville State 73–76 regular
2019-02-13 2019 Belmont @ Tennessee State 89–65 regular
2019-02-09 2019 Tennessee State @ Eastern Kentucky 57–31 regular
2019-02-07 2019 Tennessee State @ Morehead State 55–71 regular
2019-02-02 2019 Southeast Missouri State @ Tennessee State 59–62 regular
2019-01-31 2019 UT Martin @ Tennessee State 73–61 regular
2019-01-26 2019 Tennessee State @ Murray State 65–61 regular
2019-01-24 2019 Tennessee State @ Austin Peay 47–74 regular
2019-01-19 2019 Tennessee State @ Belmont 46–80 regular
2019-01-17 2019 Tennessee State @ Tennessee Tech 65–76 regular
2019-01-12 2019 Morehead State @ Tennessee State 85–62 regular
2019-01-10 2019 Eastern Kentucky @ Tennessee State 38–60 regular
2019-01-05 2019 Jacksonville State @ Tennessee State 62–52 regular
2019-01-03 2019 Tennessee Tech @ Tennessee State 69–59 regular
2018-12-21 2019 Tennessee State @ Ball State 51–90 regular
2018-12-18 2019 Tennessee State @ DePaul 73–95 regular
2018-12-15 2019 Tennessee State @ Marshall 59–80 regular
2018-12-02 2019 Tennessee State @ Louisville 52–107 regular
2018-11-30 2019 South Alabama @ Tennessee State 78–56 regular
2018-11-25 2019 Tennessee State @ Pittsburgh N 56–78 regular
2018-11-24 2019 Tennessee State @ Wisconsin N 53–58 regular
2018-11-24 2019 Arkansas @ Tennessee State N 79–55 regular
2018-11-21 2019 Tennessee State @ Vanderbilt 63–89 regular
2018-11-16 2019 Tennessee State @ Troy 67–92 regular
2018-11-13 2019 Tennessee State @ Alabama A&M 57–67 regular
2018-11-10 2019 Tennessee State @ Lipscomb 62–64 regular