cbb·system

UAlbany Great Danes

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 64 (out) 2015

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.88 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.80 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.08 points per possession 0.17
PACE 65.49 possessions per game 4.80

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

UAlbany AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans -0.30 to 0.51 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
2015249 0.727

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUAlbany auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-20 2015 UAlbany @ Duke N 52–54 ncaa_tournament
2015-03-13 2015 Hartford @ UAlbany 75–84 conf_tournament
2015-03-08 2015 UMBC @ UAlbany N 37–66 conf_tournament
2015-03-07 2015 Vermont @ UAlbany N 33–63 conf_tournament
2015-03-01 2015 Vermont @ UAlbany 48–76 regular
2015-02-27 2015 UAlbany @ Hartford 65–50 regular
2015-02-22 2015 UAlbany @ Stony Brook 64–68 regular
2015-02-19 2015 UMBC @ UAlbany 68–84 regular
2015-02-11 2015 Binghamton @ UAlbany 53–75 regular
2015-02-07 2015 UMass Lowell @ UAlbany 57–93 regular
2015-02-05 2015 UAlbany @ New Hampshire 74–48 regular
2015-02-01 2015 Maine @ UAlbany 52–44 regular
2015-01-30 2015 UAlbany @ Vermont 89–48 regular
2015-01-25 2015 Hartford @ UAlbany 58–82 regular
2015-01-22 2015 UAlbany @ UMBC 72–62 regular
2015-01-20 2015 Stony Brook @ UAlbany 59–69 regular
2015-01-15 2015 UAlbany @ Binghamton 82–49 regular
2015-01-11 2015 UAlbany @ UMass Lowell 78–50 regular
2015-01-08 2015 New Hampshire @ UAlbany 65–76 regular
2015-01-03 2015 UAlbany @ Maine 49–43 regular
2014-12-30 2015 UAlbany @ North Carolina 56–71 regular
2014-12-28 2015 Northeastern @ UAlbany 70–67 regular
2014-12-21 2015 UAlbany @ Cal State Fullerton 71–49 regular
2014-12-19 2015 UAlbany @ Pepperdine 62–36 regular
2014-12-16 2015 UAlbany @ Quinnipiac 62–66 regular
2014-12-13 2015 UAlbany @ Siena N 76–57 regular
2014-12-11 2015 UAlbany @ Marist 58–61 regular
2014-12-06 2015 UAlbany @ Colgate 67–48 regular
2014-12-03 2015 Hofstra @ UAlbany 65–55 regular
2014-11-27 2015 UAlbany @ Canisius 64–59 regular
2014-11-21 2015 UAlbany @ Western Kentucky 54–63 regular
2014-11-16 2015 UAlbany @ Penn State 54–53 regular
2014-11-15 2015 St. Francis Brooklyn @ UAlbany 47–90 regular