cbb·system

Kentucky Wildcats

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Round of 32 (out) 2025

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.15 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.79 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.36 points per possession 0.18
PACE 68.45 possessions per game 4.82

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-06 19:00), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Kentucky AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans -0.09 to 0.81 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
2025238 0.742

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbKentucky auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-23 2025 Kansas State @ Kentucky 80–79 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-21 2025 Liberty @ Kentucky 78–79 ncaa_tournament
2025-03-07 2025 Oklahoma @ Kentucky N 69–65 conf_tournament
2025-03-02 2025 Kentucky @ South Carolina 66–78 regular
2025-02-28 2025 Tennessee @ Kentucky 58–82 regular
2025-02-23 2025 LSU @ Kentucky 65–58 regular
2025-02-21 2025 Kentucky @ Missouri 73–65 regular
2025-02-16 2025 Georgia @ Kentucky 55–84 regular
2025-02-14 2025 Texas @ Kentucky 67–49 regular
2025-02-11 2025 Kentucky @ Ole Miss 57–66 regular
2025-02-02 2025 Kentucky @ Oklahoma 95–86 regular
2025-01-31 2025 Alabama @ Kentucky 56–65 regular
2025-01-26 2025 Arkansas @ Kentucky 69–89 regular
2025-01-24 2025 Kentucky @ Texas A&M 55–61 regular
2025-01-19 2025 Kentucky @ Georgia 78–64 regular
2025-01-12 2025 Auburn @ Kentucky 61–80 regular
2025-01-09 2025 Kentucky @ Florida 71–55 regular
2025-01-05 2025 Kentucky @ Vanderbilt 96–78 regular
2025-01-03 2025 Mississippi State @ Kentucky 69–91 regular
2024-12-28 2025 Western Kentucky @ Kentucky 70–88 regular
2024-12-20 2025 Belmont @ Kentucky 78–84 regular
2024-12-14 2025 Kentucky @ Purdue 82–52 regular
2024-12-09 2025 Queens University @ Kentucky 45–87 regular
2024-12-05 2025 Kentucky @ North Carolina 53–72 regular
2024-11-28 2025 Kentucky @ Illinois N 76–53 regular
2024-11-26 2025 Arizona State @ Kentucky N 61–77 regular
2024-11-18 2025 Purdue Fort Wayne @ Kentucky 67–79 regular
2024-11-16 2025 Louisville @ Kentucky 61–71 regular
2024-11-12 2025 Wofford @ Kentucky 42–76 regular
2024-11-07 2025 Northern Kentucky @ Kentucky 41–70 regular
2024-11-04 2025 South Carolina Upstate @ Kentucky 43–98 regular