cbb·system

Northern Illinois Huskies

mens MAC canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.00 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.06 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.06 points per possession 0.19
PACE 69.18 possessions per game 4.22

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Northern Illinois AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans -0.54 to 0.37 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20231319 0.406

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdNorthern Illinois auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-09 2023 Northern Illinois @ Kent State N 57–76 conf_tournament
2023-03-03 2023 Eastern Michigan @ Northern Illinois 66–85 regular
2023-03-01 2023 Buffalo @ Northern Illinois 85–75 regular
2023-02-25 2023 Northern Illinois @ Central Michigan 84–80 regular
2023-02-22 2023 Northern Illinois @ Ohio 68–77 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Miami (OH) @ Northern Illinois 66–65 regular
2023-02-15 2023 Northern Illinois @ Ball State 77–87 regular
2023-02-11 2023 Western Michigan @ Northern Illinois 53–81 regular
2023-02-08 2023 Ohio @ Northern Illinois 82–76 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Northern Illinois @ Bowling Green 86–78 regular
2023-02-01 2023 Northern Illinois @ Western Michigan 73–59 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Ball State @ Northern Illinois 87–69 regular
2023-01-25 2023 Kent State @ Northern Illinois 76–86 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Northern Illinois @ Eastern Michigan 88–67 regular
2023-01-18 2023 Northern Illinois @ Miami (OH) 81–77 regular
2023-01-14 2023 Toledo @ Northern Illinois 84–67 regular
2023-01-11 2023 Central Michigan @ Northern Illinois 54–73 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Northern Illinois @ Buffalo 62–80 regular
2023-01-04 2023 Northern Illinois @ Akron 51–76 regular
2022-12-22 2023 Northern Illinois @ Indiana State 67–57 regular
2022-12-20 2023 UAlbany @ Northern Illinois 83–78 regular
2022-12-17 2023 Northern Illinois @ VCU 63–90 regular
2022-12-13 2023 Northern Illinois @ Gonzaga 67–88 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Northern Illinois @ Idaho 47–84 regular
2022-12-01 2023 Northern Illinois @ Eastern Illinois 90–70 regular
2022-11-26 2023 Northern Illinois @ Northern Iowa 76–83 regular
2022-11-23 2023 Northern Illinois @ Long Island University N 86–61 regular
2022-11-22 2023 Sam Houston @ Northern Illinois N 88–54 regular
2022-11-18 2023 Northern Illinois @ Georgia Tech 50–68 regular
2022-11-15 2023 Purdue Northwest @ Northern Illinois 73–99 non_d1
2022-11-12 2023 Northern Illinois @ Northwestern 46–63 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Illinois-Springfield @ Northern Illinois 83–77 non_d1