cbb·system

Western Carolina Catamounts

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.85 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.07 points per possession 0.11
ME -0.22 points per possession 0.16
PACE 69.37 possessions per game 4.56

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 27 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Western Carolina AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans -0.66 to 0.13 over 79 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151119 0.367

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbWestern Carolina auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-05 2015 Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State N 53–73 conf_tournament
2015-02-28 2015 Western Carolina @ UNC Greensboro 86–80 regular
2015-02-24 2015 Furman @ Western Carolina 64–77 regular
2015-02-21 2015 Wofford @ Western Carolina 63–55 regular
2015-02-17 2015 Chattanooga @ Western Carolina 66–41 regular
2015-02-14 2015 Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State 40–51 regular
2015-02-10 2015 Western Carolina @ Mercer 60–82 regular
2015-02-07 2015 East Tennessee State @ Western Carolina 63–60 regular
2015-02-02 2015 Western Carolina @ Wofford 49–59 regular
2015-01-31 2015 Western Carolina @ Furman 72–84 regular
2015-01-24 2015 UNC Greensboro @ Western Carolina 49–70 regular
2015-01-19 2015 Western Carolina @ Samford 52–68 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Western Carolina @ Chattanooga 52–83 regular
2015-01-12 2015 Samford @ Western Carolina 60–50 regular
2015-01-10 2015 Mercer @ Western Carolina 68–51 regular
2015-01-05 2015 Montreat @ Western Carolina 37–110 non_d1
2015-01-03 2015 Western Carolina @ Bethune-Cookman 53–63 regular
2014-12-31 2015 Western Carolina @ Wake Forest 59–77 regular
2014-12-21 2015 Western Carolina @ North Florida 45–62 regular
2014-12-20 2015 Florida International @ Western Carolina N 69–83 regular
2014-12-17 2015 Western Carolina @ UNC Asheville 79–66 regular
2014-12-14 2015 Western Carolina @ Virginia Tech 58–79 regular
2014-12-06 2015 South Carolina Upstate @ Western Carolina 59–63 regular
2014-12-04 2015 North Greenville @ Western Carolina 74–75 non_d1
2014-11-29 2015 Western Carolina @ UNC Wilmington 64–53 regular
2014-11-28 2015 Western Carolina @ Eastern Kentucky N 62–71 regular
2014-11-25 2015 Campbell @ Western Carolina 57–67 regular
2014-11-22 2015 Presbyterian @ Western Carolina 51–44 regular
2014-11-18 2015 Livingstone @ Western Carolina 55–66 non_d1
2014-11-15 2015 North Carolina Central @ Western Carolina 64–59 regular