cbb·system

Elon Phoenix

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.80 points per possession 0.13
DE 0.95 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.15 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.61 possessions per game 4.86

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-06 19:00), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Elon AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans -0.54 to 0.34 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20251515 0.500

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbElon auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-14 2025 Towson @ Elon N 53–47 conf_tournament
2025-03-08 2025 Elon @ Monmouth 70–54 regular
2025-03-07 2025 Elon @ Northeastern 43–49 regular
2025-03-02 2025 North Carolina A&T @ Elon 69–70 regular
2025-03-01 2025 Elon @ Charleston 51–91 regular
2025-02-23 2025 Drexel @ Elon 63–56 regular
2025-02-22 2025 Delaware @ Elon 60–51 regular
2025-02-16 2025 Campbell @ Elon 48–45 regular
2025-02-15 2025 Elon @ UNC Wilmington 70–56 regular
2025-02-09 2025 Elon @ Towson 45–41 regular
2025-02-02 2025 Monmouth @ Elon 62–47 regular
2025-02-01 2025 William & Mary @ Elon 64–59 regular
2025-01-26 2025 Elon @ Drexel 37–64 regular
2025-01-24 2025 Elon @ Delaware 69–67 regular
2025-01-19 2025 Hofstra @ Elon 51–70 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Stony Brook @ Elon 48–60 regular
2025-01-10 2025 Hampton @ Elon 51–59 regular
2025-01-05 2025 Elon @ William & Mary 70–66 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Elon @ North Carolina A&T 40–57 regular
2024-12-31 2025 Lees McRae @ Elon 53–97 non_d1
2024-12-19 2025 Elon @ Long Beach State 68–67 regular
2024-12-15 2025 Elon @ USC 30–88 regular
2024-12-08 2025 Elon @ East Carolina 43–60 regular
2024-12-04 2025 Furman @ Elon 61–57 regular
2024-11-26 2025 Elon @ Longwood 74–67 regular
2024-11-23 2025 Elon @ Virginia Tech 69–87 regular
2024-11-17 2025 Kent State @ Elon 63–66 regular
2024-11-13 2025 Elon @ Marshall 56–65 regular
2024-11-09 2025 Gardner-Webb @ Elon 61–69 regular
2024-11-04 2025 High Point @ Elon 65–66 regular