cbb·system

Longwood Lancers

mens Big South canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2023

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.07 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.04 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.03 points per possession 0.18
PACE 64.57 possessions per game 4.46

At season 2023's latest cutoff (2023-04-04 01:20), with 30 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Longwood AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2023. Axis spans -0.38 to 0.45 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2023

SeasonWLPct
20232012 0.625

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdLongwood auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2023-03-03 2023 Campbell @ Longwood N 81–68 conf_tournament
2023-02-25 2023 UNC Asheville @ Longwood 76–66 regular
2023-02-24 2023 Longwood @ Gardner-Webb 75–63 regular
2023-02-18 2023 Radford @ Longwood 63–73 regular
2023-02-16 2023 Longwood @ South Carolina Upstate 67–72 regular
2023-02-12 2023 Longwood @ High Point 70–67 regular
2023-02-09 2023 Presbyterian @ Longwood 46–66 regular
2023-02-04 2023 Campbell @ Longwood 50–74 regular
2023-02-02 2023 Longwood @ Winthrop 74–76 regular
2023-01-28 2023 Charleston Southern @ Longwood 75–63 regular
2023-01-27 2023 Longwood @ Radford 59–63 regular
2023-01-21 2023 Longwood @ Presbyterian 58–56 regular
2023-01-19 2023 Gardner-Webb @ Longwood 59–64 regular
2023-01-15 2023 South Carolina Upstate @ Longwood 65–72 regular
2023-01-13 2023 Longwood @ UNC Asheville 46–54 regular
2023-01-07 2023 Winthrop @ Longwood 71–85 regular
2023-01-05 2023 Longwood @ Charleston Southern 79–74 regular
2022-12-31 2023 Longwood @ Campbell 67–42 regular
2022-12-29 2023 High Point @ Longwood 73–87 regular
2022-12-20 2023 South Carolina State @ Longwood 77–104 regular
2022-12-17 2023 Longwood @ The Citadel 75–70 regular
2022-12-13 2023 Longwood @ St. Francis Brooklyn 63–57 regular
2022-12-10 2023 Longwood @ Wichita State 63–81 regular
2022-12-03 2023 Longwood @ Delaware State 75–49 regular
2022-11-29 2023 Longwood @ San Diego 68–71 regular
2022-11-25 2023 Mary Baldwin @ Longwood 60–112 non_d1
2022-11-20 2023 SIU Edwardsville @ Longwood 61–56 regular
2022-11-19 2023 Fairleigh Dickinson @ Longwood 83–99 regular
2022-11-18 2023 VMI @ Longwood 58–90 regular
2022-11-13 2023 Pfeiffer @ Longwood 68–100 non_d1
2022-11-12 2023 Longwood @ George Mason 69–83 regular
2022-11-08 2023 Longwood @ Alabama 54–75 regular