cbb·system

Longwood Lancers

mens Big South canonical name from espn_mbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.06 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.12 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.06 points per possession 0.19
PACE 68.14 possessions per game 4.32

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-08 00:50), with 29 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Longwood AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans -0.44 to 0.37 over 135 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20251814 0.562

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdLongwood auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-08 2025 Longwood @ Winthrop N 79–88 conf_tournament
2025-03-01 2025 Longwood @ South Carolina Upstate 83–66 regular
2025-02-28 2025 Winthrop @ Longwood 85–59 regular
2025-02-22 2025 Longwood @ UNC Asheville 82–87 regular
2025-02-20 2025 Gardner-Webb @ Longwood 77–90 regular
2025-02-15 2025 Presbyterian @ Longwood 77–68 regular
2025-02-14 2025 Longwood @ High Point 72–83 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Radford @ Longwood 71–69 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Longwood @ Charleston Southern 85–89 regular
2025-01-30 2025 Longwood @ Gardner-Webb 87–92 regular
2025-01-25 2025 South Carolina Upstate @ Longwood 54–80 regular
2025-01-23 2025 Longwood @ Radford 77–74 regular
2025-01-17 2025 High Point @ Longwood 80–82 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Longwood @ Winthrop 76–95 regular
2025-01-09 2025 UNC Asheville @ Longwood 76–85 regular
2025-01-05 2025 Charleston Southern @ Longwood 78–83 regular
2025-01-02 2025 Longwood @ Presbyterian 60–68 regular
2024-12-29 2025 Longwood @ SMU 82–98 regular
2024-12-21 2025 Longwood @ North Carolina Central 82–67 regular
2024-12-19 2025 Longwood @ Campbell 77–55 regular
2024-12-14 2025 North Carolina Central @ Longwood 77–70 regular
2024-12-08 2025 Mary Baldwin @ Longwood 40–97 non_d1
2024-12-06 2025 Maryland Eastern Shore @ Longwood 76–80 regular
2024-12-01 2025 Regent @ Longwood 55–108 non_d1
2024-11-25 2025 Longwood @ Kansas State N 64–80 regular
2024-11-24 2025 Longwood @ McNeese N 69–84 regular
2024-11-22 2025 Longwood @ UAB N 89–81 regular
2024-11-19 2025 Longwood @ Binghamton 66–60 regular
2024-11-16 2025 UT Martin @ Longwood 62–64 regular
2024-11-14 2025 Milwaukee @ Longwood 62–76 regular
2024-11-09 2025 Morgan State @ Longwood 66–84 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Randolph College @ Longwood 68–79 non_d1