Toledo Rockets
mens
MAC
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2026
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.17 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.14 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.02 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 67.18 | possessions per game | 4.52 |
At season 2026's latest cutoff
(2026-04-07 00:50),
with 32 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026.
Axis spans -0.39 to 0.39 over
131 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2026
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 19 | 15 | 0.559 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Toledo | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | 2026 | Toledo @ Akron N | 76–79 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-13 | 2026 | Massachusetts @ Toledo N | 67–77 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-12 | 2026 | Bowling Green @ Toledo N | 76–77 | conf_tournament |
| 2026-03-07 | 2026 | Buffalo @ Toledo | 78–98 | regular |
| 2026-03-04 | 2026 | Toledo @ Miami (OH) | 72–74 | regular |
| 2026-02-28 | 2026 | Toledo @ Ohio | 79–67 | regular |
| 2026-02-25 | 2026 | Northern Illinois @ Toledo | 69–79 | regular |
| 2026-02-21 | 2026 | Eastern Michigan @ Toledo | 75–94 | regular |
| 2026-02-14 | 2026 | Toledo @ Bowling Green | 70–80 | regular |
| 2026-02-12 | 2026 | Toledo @ Western Michigan | 90–79 | regular |
| 2026-02-07 | 2026 | Toledo @ James Madison | 71–73 | regular |
| 2026-02-04 | 2026 | Kent State @ Toledo | 75–72 | regular |
| 2026-01-31 | 2026 | Ball State @ Toledo | 55–73 | regular |
| 2026-01-28 | 2026 | Toledo @ Akron | 81–91 | regular |
| 2026-01-24 | 2026 | Bowling Green @ Toledo | 72–73 | regular |
| 2026-01-20 | 2026 | Toledo @ Massachusetts | 82–84 | regular |
| 2026-01-16 | 2026 | Toledo @ Kent State | 84–87 | regular |
| 2026-01-14 | 2026 | Ohio @ Toledo | 85–101 | regular |
| 2026-01-09 | 2026 | Miami (OH) @ Toledo | 87–73 | regular |
| 2026-01-07 | 2026 | Toledo @ Northern Illinois | 75–61 | regular |
| 2026-01-03 | 2026 | Toledo @ Central Michigan | 78–75 | regular |
| 2025-12-30 | 2026 | Western Michigan @ Toledo | 79–84 | regular |
| 2025-12-20 | 2026 | Lourdes University @ Toledo | 67–100 | non_d1 |
| 2025-12-16 | 2026 | Toledo @ Michigan State | 69–92 | regular |
| 2025-12-13 | 2026 | Toledo @ Robert Morris | 70–75 | regular |
| 2025-12-06 | 2026 | Toledo @ Oakland | 97–98 | regular |
| 2025-12-01 | 2026 | Central State (OH) @ Toledo | 58–102 | non_d1 |
| 2025-11-26 | 2026 | Belmont @ Toledo N | 87–72 | regular |
| 2025-11-24 | 2026 | Toledo @ Troy N | 75–68 | regular |
| 2025-11-20 | 2026 | Youngstown State @ Toledo | 75–92 | regular |
| 2025-11-15 | 2026 | Detroit Mercy @ Toledo | 83–90 | regular |
| 2025-11-12 | 2026 | Toledo @ Wright State | 81–71 | regular |
| 2025-11-08 | 2026 | Marshall @ Toledo | 85–73 | regular |
| 2025-11-04 | 2026 | South Alabama @ Toledo | 76–74 | regular |