Toledo Rockets
mens
MAC
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2022
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 1.12 | points per possession | 0.12 |
| DE | 1.02 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | 0.10 | points per possession | 0.18 |
| PACE | 68.05 | possessions per game | 4.46 |
At season 2022's latest cutoff
(2022-04-05 01:20),
with 33 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2022.
Axis spans -0.29 to 0.49 over
129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2022
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 26 | 8 | 0.765 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Toledo | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-16 | 2022 | Dayton @ Toledo | 74–55 | nit |
| 2022-03-11 | 2022 | Akron @ Toledo N | 70–62 | conf_tournament |
| 2022-03-10 | 2022 | Central Michigan @ Toledo N | 71–72 | conf_tournament |
| 2022-03-04 | 2022 | Bowling Green @ Toledo | 56–96 | regular |
| 2022-03-02 | 2022 | Toledo @ Buffalo | 92–76 | regular |
| 2022-02-26 | 2022 | Miami (OH) @ Toledo | 73–88 | regular |
| 2022-02-23 | 2022 | Toledo @ Western Michigan | 92–50 | regular |
| 2022-02-20 | 2022 | Central Michigan @ Toledo | 66–68 | regular |
| 2022-02-15 | 2022 | Kent State @ Toledo | 72–59 | regular |
| 2022-02-12 | 2022 | Toledo @ Northern Illinois | 100–72 | regular |
| 2022-02-09 | 2022 | Ohio @ Toledo | 62–77 | regular |
| 2022-02-05 | 2022 | Toledo @ Ball State | 83–93 | regular |
| 2022-02-02 | 2022 | Toledo @ Eastern Michigan | 86–66 | regular |
| 2022-01-29 | 2022 | Akron @ Toledo | 76–84 | regular |
| 2022-01-26 | 2022 | Buffalo @ Toledo | 75–86 | regular |
| 2022-01-21 | 2022 | Toledo @ Ohio | 87–69 | regular |
| 2022-01-19 | 2022 | Ball State @ Toledo | 70–83 | regular |
| 2022-01-15 | 2022 | Toledo @ Bowling Green | 91–78 | regular |
| 2022-01-12 | 2022 | Toledo @ Miami (OH) | 75–72 | regular |
| 2022-01-08 | 2022 | Northern Illinois @ Toledo | 63–94 | regular |
| 2022-01-05 | 2022 | Toledo @ Central Michigan | 82–54 | regular |
| 2022-01-01 | 2022 | Toledo @ Kent State | 63–66 | regular |
| 2021-12-30 | 2022 | Western Michigan @ Toledo | 56–83 | regular |
| 2021-12-22 | 2022 | Marshall @ Toledo | 63–95 | regular |
| 2021-12-11 | 2022 | Toledo @ Richmond | 69–72 | regular |
| 2021-12-08 | 2022 | Bradley @ Toledo | 65–67 | regular |
| 2021-12-04 | 2022 | Toledo @ Michigan State | 68–81 | regular |
| 2021-11-30 | 2022 | Northwestern Ohio @ Toledo | 36–106 | non_d1 |
| 2021-11-25 | 2022 | Coastal Carolina @ Toledo N | 70–79 | regular |
| 2021-11-23 | 2022 | Tulane @ Toledo N | 67–68 | regular |
| 2021-11-22 | 2022 | Charlotte @ Toledo N | 86–98 | regular |
| 2021-11-18 | 2022 | Toledo @ Oakland | 59–80 | regular |
| 2021-11-14 | 2022 | Detroit Mercy @ Toledo | 73–81 | regular |
| 2021-11-10 | 2022 | Toledo @ Valparaiso | 69–61 | regular |