cbb·system

UMass Lowell River Hawks

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.84 points per possession 0.12
DE 1.07 points per possession 0.11
ME -0.23 points per possession 0.16
PACE 76.23 possessions per game 4.17

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

UMass Lowell AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans -0.60 to 0.32 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151415 0.483

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbUMass Lowell auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-04 2015 NJIT @ UMass Lowell 51–60 regular
2015-02-27 2015 UMass Lowell @ Vermont 72–64 regular
2015-02-21 2015 New Hampshire @ UMass Lowell 65–70 regular
2015-02-19 2015 UMass Lowell @ Stony Brook 36–62 regular
2015-02-14 2015 UMass Lowell @ Hartford 65–62 regular
2015-02-12 2015 Maine @ UMass Lowell 74–46 regular
2015-02-07 2015 UMass Lowell @ UAlbany 57–93 regular
2015-02-05 2015 UMass Lowell @ UMBC 84–78 regular
2015-02-01 2015 Binghamton @ UMass Lowell 49–66 regular
2015-01-25 2015 Vermont @ UMass Lowell 63–72 regular
2015-01-23 2015 Stony Brook @ UMass Lowell 64–60 regular
2015-01-19 2015 UMass Lowell @ New Hampshire 51–58 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Hartford @ UMass Lowell 67–56 regular
2015-01-15 2015 UMass Lowell @ Maine 54–68 regular
2015-01-11 2015 UAlbany @ UMass Lowell 78–50 regular
2015-01-08 2015 UMBC @ UMass Lowell 62–75 regular
2015-01-03 2015 UMass Lowell @ Binghamton 64–65 regular
2014-12-31 2015 St. Francis Brooklyn @ UMass Lowell 62–64 regular
2014-12-22 2015 UMass Lowell @ Holy Cross 63–78 regular
2014-12-19 2015 UMass Lowell @ Duke 48–95 regular
2014-12-10 2015 Bryant @ UMass Lowell 85–86 regular
2014-12-09 2015 Yale @ UMass Lowell 72–80 regular
2014-12-06 2015 UMass Lowell @ Providence 54–66 regular
2014-12-04 2015 UMass Lowell @ Columbia 69–59 regular
2014-11-30 2015 Fairleigh Dickinson @ UMass Lowell 67–78 regular
2014-11-25 2015 Mount Ida @ UMass Lowell 41–93 non_d1
2014-11-22 2015 Central Connecticut @ UMass Lowell 81–58 regular
2014-11-20 2015 Rhode Island @ UMass Lowell 75–66 regular
2014-11-14 2015 UMass Lowell @ Notre Dame 51–105 regular