Illinois State Redbirds
mens
MVC
canonical name from espn_mbb
Ratings · 2021
| Dimension | Value | Unit | σ |
|---|---|---|---|
| OE | 0.99 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| DE | 1.04 | points per possession | 0.13 |
| ME | -0.05 | points per possession | 0.19 |
| PACE | 69.47 | possessions per game | 4.47 |
At season 2021's latest cutoff
(2021-04-04 00:47),
with 26 games played. OE is points scored
per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their
difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is
possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares
its row's unit.
Ratings over time
Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021
Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace
Warm-up shown · hide
train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021.
Axis spans -0.50 to 0.35 over
110 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ
(AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been
played.
The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had
played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating
is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at
18).
This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal
average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each
factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit
noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.Record · 2021
| Season | W | L | Pct |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 6 | 18 | 0.250 |
Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.
Vendor names
| Source | Name | Reviewed |
|---|---|---|
| cbbd | Illinois State | auto |
Schedule & results
| Date | S | Matchup | Score | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-05 | 2021 | Illinois State @ Northern Iowa N | 60–65 | conf_tournament |
| 2021-02-27 | 2021 | Northern Iowa @ Illinois State | 94–87 | regular |
| 2021-02-27 | 2021 | Northern Iowa @ Illinois State | 70–56 | regular |
| 2021-02-19 | 2021 | Illinois State @ Bradley | 88–71 | regular |
| 2021-02-14 | 2021 | Illinois State @ Southern Illinois | 49–59 | regular |
| 2021-02-13 | 2021 | Illinois State @ Southern Illinois | 80–55 | regular |
| 2021-02-07 | 2021 | Missouri State @ Illinois State | 72–62 | regular |
| 2021-02-06 | 2021 | Missouri State @ Illinois State | 74–67 | regular |
| 2021-02-02 | 2021 | Illinois State @ Drake | 60–95 | regular |
| 2021-01-31 | 2021 | Illinois State @ Drake | 76–78 | regular |
| 2021-01-24 | 2021 | Valparaiso @ Illinois State | 70–66 | regular |
| 2021-01-23 | 2021 | Valparaiso @ Illinois State | 69–60 | regular |
| 2021-01-21 | 2021 | Bradley @ Illinois State | 56–71 | regular |
| 2021-01-17 | 2021 | Indiana State @ Illinois State | 74–68 | regular |
| 2021-01-16 | 2021 | Indiana State @ Illinois State | 73–65 | regular |
| 2021-01-10 | 2021 | Illinois State @ Evansville | 73–68 | regular |
| 2021-01-09 | 2021 | Illinois State @ Evansville | 48–57 | regular |
| 2021-01-03 | 2021 | Valparaiso @ Illinois State | scheduled | regular |
| 2021-01-02 | 2021 | Valparaiso @ Illinois State | scheduled | regular |
| 2020-12-29 | 2021 | Illinois State @ Loyola Chicago | 55–86 | regular |
| 2020-12-27 | 2021 | Illinois State @ Loyola Chicago | 60–90 | regular |
| 2020-12-15 | 2021 | Chicago State @ Illinois State | 62–91 | regular |
| 2020-12-13 | 2021 | Illinois State @ Ball State | 66–82 | regular |
| 2020-12-05 | 2021 | Illinois State @ Murray State | 65–76 | regular |
| 2020-11-28 | 2021 | Illinois State @ UMass Lowell N | 82–72 | regular |
| 2020-11-25 | 2021 | Illinois State @ Ohio State | 67–94 | regular |