cbb·system

App State Mountaineers

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2015

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.83 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.88 points per possession 0.12
ME -0.05 points per possession 0.17
PACE 82.59 possessions per game 4.02

At season 2015's latest cutoff (2015-03-10 01:00), with 28 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

App State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2015. Axis spans -0.45 to 0.34 over 91 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2015

SeasonWLPct
20151416 0.467

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbApp State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2015-03-11 2015 App State @ Arkansas State N 52–67 conf_tournament
2015-03-07 2015 UT Arlington @ App State 61–53 regular
2015-03-05 2015 Texas State @ App State 55–61 regular
2015-02-28 2015 UL Monroe @ App State 61–80 regular
2015-02-26 2015 Georgia Southern @ App State 39–66 regular
2015-02-21 2015 App State @ Georgia State 70–80 regular
2015-02-19 2015 App State @ UT Arlington 45–55 regular
2015-02-14 2015 App State @ UL Monroe 55–54 regular
2015-02-12 2015 Little Rock @ App State 63–49 regular
2015-02-07 2015 Troy @ App State 108–87 regular
2015-02-05 2015 App State @ Louisiana 66–70 regular
2015-01-29 2015 App State @ Georgia Southern 77–74 regular
2015-01-24 2015 App State @ Texas State 58–67 regular
2015-01-22 2015 South Alabama @ App State 59–70 regular
2015-01-19 2015 App State @ Troy 87–91 regular
2015-01-17 2015 Georgia State @ App State 76–71 regular
2015-01-15 2015 Arkansas State @ App State 69–70 regular
2015-01-10 2015 App State @ Little Rock 48–69 regular
2015-01-08 2015 App State @ South Alabama 67–63 regular
2015-01-05 2015 Louisiana @ App State 51–63 regular
2015-01-03 2015 App State @ Arkansas State 75–89 regular
2014-12-31 2015 Catawba @ App State 64–81 non_d1
2014-12-18 2015 North Carolina A&T @ App State 70–72 regular
2014-12-14 2015 App State @ North Carolina 52–84 regular
2014-12-06 2015 App State @ Furman 79–84 regular
2014-11-30 2015 Radford @ App State 68–67 regular
2014-11-26 2015 Gardner-Webb @ App State 69–77 regular
2014-11-22 2015 UNC Wilmington @ App State 72–82 regular
2014-11-20 2015 App State @ East Tennessee State 76–70 regular
2014-11-15 2015 App State @ Kentucky 74–111 regular