cbb·system

Louisville Cardinals

womens canonical name from espn_wbb Sweet 16 (out) 2026

Ratings · 2026

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.20 points per possession 0.12
DE 0.77 points per possession 0.13
ME 0.44 points per possession 0.18
PACE 68.86 possessions per game 4.54

At season 2026's latest cutoff (2026-04-05 19:30), with 37 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Louisville AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2026. Axis spans 0.04 to 0.85 over 129 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2026

SeasonWLPct
2026298 0.784

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbLouisville auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2026-03-28 2026 Louisville @ Michigan N 52–71 ncaa_tournament
2026-03-23 2026 Alabama @ Louisville 68–69 ncaa_tournament
2026-03-21 2026 Vermont @ Louisville 52–72 ncaa_tournament
2026-03-08 2026 Louisville @ Duke N 65–70 conf_tournament
2026-03-07 2026 North Carolina @ Louisville N 57–65 conf_tournament
2026-03-06 2026 Syracuse @ Louisville N 61–87 conf_tournament
2026-03-01 2026 Notre Dame @ Louisville 65–62 regular
2026-02-26 2026 Louisville @ Georgia Tech 69–50 regular
2026-02-22 2026 Virginia @ Louisville 74–72 regular
2026-02-15 2026 Florida State @ Louisville 65–88 regular
2026-02-13 2026 Wake Forest @ Louisville 67–86 regular
2026-02-08 2026 Louisville @ Syracuse 84–65 regular
2026-02-06 2026 Duke @ Louisville 59–58 regular
2026-02-01 2026 Louisville @ California 71–59 regular
2026-01-30 2026 Louisville @ Stanford 84–66 regular
2026-01-24 2026 Boston College @ Louisville 56–85 regular
2026-01-18 2026 Louisville @ NC State 88–80 regular
2026-01-15 2026 Louisville @ Notre Dame 79–66 regular
2026-01-11 2026 Pittsburgh @ Louisville 46–86 regular
2026-01-08 2026 Louisville @ Miami 77–68 regular
2026-01-04 2026 Virginia Tech @ Louisville 60–85 regular
2026-01-01 2026 SMU @ Louisville 58–91 regular
2025-12-20 2026 Tennessee @ Louisville N 65–89 regular
2025-12-17 2026 Eastern Kentucky @ Louisville 51–76 regular
2025-12-14 2026 Louisville @ North Carolina 76–66 regular
2025-12-11 2026 Ball State @ Louisville 62–93 regular
2025-12-07 2026 New Hampshire @ Louisville 43–94 regular
2025-12-05 2026 South Carolina @ Louisville 79–77 regular
2025-11-30 2026 Bellarmine @ Louisville 37–100 regular
2025-11-29 2026 Louisville @ East Tennessee State N 88–50 regular
2025-11-29 2026 Eastern Illinois @ Louisville 38–91 regular
2025-11-22 2026 Kentucky @ Louisville 72–62 regular
2025-11-20 2026 Morehead State @ Louisville 49–96 regular
2025-11-16 2026 Louisville @ Clemson 65–54 regular
2025-11-13 2026 Colorado @ Louisville 68–74 regular
2025-11-09 2026 Northern Kentucky @ Louisville 61–89 regular
2025-11-04 2026 Louisville @ UConn N 66–79 regular