cbb·system

Rider Broncs

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2019

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.86 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.02 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.17 points per possession 0.19
PACE 67.63 possessions per game 4.95

At season 2019's latest cutoff (2019-04-07 22:00), with 32 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Rider AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2019. Axis spans -1.41 to 1.24 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2019

SeasonWLPct
20191913 0.594

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbRider auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2019-03-21 2019 Rider @ West Virginia 43–83 other_postseason
2019-03-10 2019 Marist @ Rider N 62–52 conf_tournament
2019-03-08 2019 Iona @ Rider N 46–54 conf_tournament
2019-03-02 2019 Rider @ Fairfield 60–53 regular
2019-03-01 2019 Siena @ Rider 54–77 regular
2019-02-24 2019 Rider @ Niagara 79–64 regular
2019-02-22 2019 Quinnipiac @ Rider 66–60 regular
2019-02-17 2019 Manhattan @ Rider 60–57 regular
2019-02-16 2019 Rider @ Saint Peter's 78–43 regular
2019-02-13 2019 Iona @ Rider 64–75 regular
2019-02-09 2019 Marist @ Rider 64–70 regular
2019-02-08 2019 Monmouth @ Rider 50–65 regular
2019-02-03 2019 Rider @ Quinnipiac 56–72 regular
2019-01-31 2019 Rider @ Marist 68–58 regular
2019-01-26 2019 Canisius @ Rider 62–49 regular
2019-01-20 2019 Rider @ Manhattan 73–63 regular
2019-01-19 2019 Saint Peter's @ Rider 38–60 regular
2019-01-17 2019 Rider @ Iona 66–58 regular
2019-01-13 2019 Rider @ Siena 55–52 regular
2019-01-10 2019 Rider @ Monmouth 55–43 regular
2019-01-06 2019 Fairfield @ Rider 59–62 regular
2018-12-22 2019 Georgetown @ Rider 79–49 regular
2018-12-15 2019 Rider @ Bucknell 59–80 regular
2018-12-08 2019 Rider @ Binghamton 62–57 regular
2018-12-02 2019 Navy @ Rider 66–60 regular
2018-11-29 2019 NJIT @ Rider 46–67 regular
2018-11-25 2019 Boston College @ Rider N 112–61 regular
2018-11-24 2019 Rider @ Saint Joseph's 56–54 regular
2018-11-17 2019 Mount St. Mary's @ Rider 67–85 regular
2018-11-12 2019 Rider @ Holy Cross 61–71 regular
2018-11-10 2019 Rider @ Vermont 49–54 regular
2018-11-07 2019 Princeton @ Rider 89–65 regular