cbb·system

Norfolk State Spartans

mens MEAC canonical name from espn_mbb #16 Round of 64 (out) 2021

Ratings · 2021

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 1.00 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.05 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.05 points per possession 0.18
PACE 67.31 possessions per game 4.56

At season 2021's latest cutoff (2021-04-04 00:47), with 31 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Norfolk State AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2021. Axis spans -0.47 to 0.37 over 110 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 18). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.75 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2021

SeasonWLPct
2021178 0.680

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
cbbdNorfolk State auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2021-03-21 2021 Norfolk State @ Gonzaga N 55–98 ncaa_tournament
2021-03-19 2021 App State @ Norfolk State N 53–54 ncaa_tournament
2021-03-13 2021 Morgan State @ Norfolk State N 63–71 conf_tournament
2021-03-13 2021 Norfolk State @ North Carolina A&T N scheduled conf_tournament
2021-03-12 2021 North Carolina Central @ Norfolk State N 58–87 conf_tournament
2021-02-28 2021 St. Mary's (MD) @ Norfolk State 51–72 non_d1
2021-02-27 2021 Norfolk State @ Howard canceled regular
2021-02-24 2021 Delaware State @ Norfolk State 55–86 regular
2021-02-18 2021 Howard @ Norfolk State canceled regular
2021-02-18 2021 Howard @ Norfolk State canceled regular
2021-02-14 2021 Norfolk State @ Morgan State 68–65 regular
2021-02-13 2021 Norfolk State @ Morgan State 74–69 regular
2021-02-09 2021 Coppin State @ Norfolk State 74–64 regular
2021-02-07 2021 Coppin State @ Norfolk State 72–84 regular
2021-01-31 2021 Delaware State @ Norfolk State scheduled regular
2021-01-30 2021 Delaware State @ Norfolk State 66–94 regular
2021-01-24 2021 Norfolk State @ Coppin State 77–81 regular
2021-01-23 2021 Norfolk State @ Coppin State 71–81 regular
2021-01-17 2021 Norfolk State @ Delaware State 83–79 regular
2021-01-16 2021 Norfolk State @ Delaware State 87–76 regular
2021-01-13 2021 NC Wesleyan @ Norfolk State 58–80 non_d1
2021-01-10 2021 Morgan State @ Norfolk State 85–89 regular
2021-01-09 2021 Morgan State @ Norfolk State 78–74 regular
2021-01-05 2021 Howard @ Norfolk State canceled regular
2021-01-03 2021 Howard @ Norfolk State canceled regular
2020-12-26 2021 Norfolk State @ George Mason 68–65 regular
2020-12-18 2021 UNC Wilmington @ Norfolk State 80–72 regular
2020-12-13 2021 Norfolk State @ UNC Greensboro 47–64 regular
2020-12-10 2021 William & Mary @ Norfolk State canceled regular
2020-12-08 2021 Hampton @ Norfolk State 64–76 regular
2020-12-03 2021 Old Dominion @ Norfolk State 80–66 regular
2020-11-29 2021 Radford @ Norfolk State N 54–57 regular
2020-11-27 2021 Norfolk State @ James Madison 83–73 regular