cbb·system

Samford Bulldogs

womens canonical name from espn_wbb

Ratings · 2025

DimensionValueUnitσ
OE 0.88 points per possession 0.13
DE 1.04 points per possession 0.13
ME -0.16 points per possession 0.19
PACE 70.26 possessions per game 4.75

At season 2025's latest cutoff (2025-04-06 19:00), with 27 games played. OE is points scored per possession, DE points allowed per possession, and the adjusted margin (ME) is their difference — so 0.47 reads as +0.47 pts per possession, not 0.47 points. PACE is possessions per game, a count, not a per-possession rate. The σ column shares its row's unit.

Ratings over time

Season 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023 · 2022 · 2021 · 2020 · 2019 · 2018 · 2015 · 2014

Show AdjME · AdjOE · AdjDE · AdjPace

Warm-up shown · hide

Samford AdjME across walk-forward cutoffswarm-up gate: 18 games played — left of this line the rating is not yet calibrated
AdjME (pts per possession) across train_cutoff_at — a walk-forward replay for season 2025. Axis spans -0.60 to 0.28 over 130 cutoffs. The shaded band is the model's own ±2σ (AdjME_sigma) — it is widest early, when few games have been played. The dashed rule is the mean warm-up gate: left of it the team had played fewer than 18 games, where the rating has not yet settled (a rating is a mean, so it gates on the mean curve; the prediction-σ gate is later or equal at 25). This line is the smoothed rating: an exponentially-weighted causal average of this team's own history (alpha 0.65 on each factor), fitted once on five seasons and frozen — it removes cutoff-to-cutoff fit noise without pulling the team toward the league mean.

Record · 2025

SeasonWLPct
20251219 0.387

Countable games per NCAA policy — includes non-D1, which count for the record and not for the ratings.

Vendor names

SourceNameReviewed
espn_wbbSamford auto

Schedule & results

DateSMatchupScoreType
2025-03-06 2025 Samford @ Wofford N 56–58 conf_tournament
2025-03-01 2025 Western Carolina @ Samford 76–69 regular
2025-02-28 2025 UNC Greensboro @ Samford 71–59 regular
2025-02-23 2025 Samford @ Furman 73–62 regular
2025-02-20 2025 Samford @ Wofford 62–54 regular
2025-02-15 2025 Chattanooga @ Samford 50–55 regular
2025-02-14 2025 East Tennessee State @ Samford 43–50 regular
2025-02-08 2025 Mercer @ Samford 49–65 regular
2025-02-01 2025 Samford @ UNC Greensboro 66–78 regular
2025-01-30 2025 Samford @ Western Carolina 90–86 regular
2025-01-25 2025 Wofford @ Samford 84–49 regular
2025-01-24 2025 Furman @ Samford 62–77 regular
2025-01-18 2025 Samford @ East Tennessee State 48–69 regular
2025-01-16 2025 Samford @ Chattanooga 63–69 regular
2025-01-11 2025 Samford @ Mercer 53–56 regular
2025-01-04 2025 Berry @ Samford 35–94 non_d1
2024-12-29 2025 Eastern Kentucky @ Samford 81–66 regular
2024-12-21 2025 Florida A&M @ Samford 72–67 regular
2024-12-18 2025 Samford @ TCU 64–103 regular
2024-12-08 2025 Miles @ Samford 41–82 non_d1
2024-12-06 2025 Samford @ North Alabama 67–61 regular
2024-11-30 2025 Samford @ North Florida 71–79 regular
2024-11-29 2025 Samford @ Stephen F. Austin N 66–90 regular
2024-11-26 2025 Tennessee Tech @ Samford 79–65 regular
2024-11-23 2025 Samford @ Vanderbilt 59–104 regular
2024-11-19 2025 Montevallo @ Samford 71–87 non_d1
2024-11-17 2025 Fisk @ Samford 61–112 non_d1
2024-11-14 2025 Samford @ Florida State 68–101 regular
2024-11-10 2025 Samford @ Memphis 75–88 regular
2024-11-08 2025 Samford @ Central Arkansas 44–63 regular
2024-11-05 2025 Samford @ Tennessee 53–101 regular